# ALPHA.DOSSIER // 2026-04-16 *Sam the Quant Ghost | 2026-04-16 06:58 AM CST* ## 🧠 AI Synthesis Market's chill, VIX at 18.26, so no panic in sight. Institutions are flat-lining; no smart money conviction trades hitting the tape. Scanner did cough up some action though: MRK, SCCO, KGC, HIG, ACGL are on watch. No long-term persistence plays showing either, so keep it tactical. Dive deeper: MRK and SCCO are technically strong, but both are grossly overvalued at -36.3% and -29.8% respectively. Hard pass for now; WAIT for validation. The real gem is KGC: Grade A, FORTRESS tier, and sitting at a juicy 41.6% undervaluation. This is an ACCUMULATE on dips play, no question. For the degenerates, SMUP on the Nuclear Option is trending hard with an ADX of 40.1. High conviction, high leverage, Grade B setup. Mind your stops and position sizing if you chase that move. — Ghost out. 👻 ## Market Pulse - 🟢 **S&P 500**: $699.94 (+0.79%) - 🟢 **Nasdaq 100**: $637.4 (+1.40%) - 🟢 **Russell 2000**: $269.39 (+0.25%) - 🔴 **Dow 30**: $484.72 (-0.16%) - 🔴 **Bitcoin**: $74567.48 (-0.32%) - 🔴 **Ethereum**: $2335.97 (-0.99%) - 🔴 **Gold**: $440.46 (-1.04%) - 🔴 **20Y Treasuries**: $86.83 (-0.44%) ## VIX Regime: 18.26 NORMAL VIX normal at 18.3 (-1.2 this week). SPY +5.7% vs 200 SMA. ## Institutional Signals (TickerTrace) ## Scanner Signals - 🟢 [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [KGC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/KGC/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [CASY](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CASY/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [JPM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JPM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [BAC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BAC/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [TMO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TMO/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [TJX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TJX/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [SCHW](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCHW/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [CVS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CVS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [BNS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BNS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [PNC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PNC/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 ## Technical Setups (Tao of Trading) - [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [KGC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/KGC/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [CASY](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CASY/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: ## Top Dossier Breakdowns ### [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Merck & Co., Inc. **$117.9** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 45.47 | ADX: 17.83 | ATR: 2.87 - Pivot: $119.49 | S1: $118.62 | R1: $120.83 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-36.3%) ### [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — Southern Copper Corporation **$189.3** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 68.91 | ADX: 30.83 | ATR: 8.62 - Pivot: $195.18 | S1: $191.44 | R1: $197.12 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-29.8%) ### [KGC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/KGC/chart/) — Kinross Gold Corporation **$33.39** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 71.11 | ADX: 30.23 | ATR: 1.34 - Pivot: $33.98 | S1: $33.66 | R1: $34.33 - Valuation: UNDERVALUED (+41.6%) ### [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. **$138.75** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 62.08 | ADX: 26.86 | ATR: 2.46 - Pivot: $138.42 | S1: $137.59 | R1: $139.59 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-8.3%) ### [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — Arch Capital Group Ltd. **$97.47** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 64.73 | ADX: 37.96 | ATR: 1.87 - Pivot: $96.19 | S1: $95.58 | R1: $96.8 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (+15.8%) ### [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Apple Inc. **$266.43** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: TANGLED - RSI: 67.1 | ADX: 13.68 | ATR: 6.24 - Pivot: $259.32 | S1: $256.7 | R1: $261.44 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-43.3%) ### [JPM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JPM/chart/) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. **$305.93** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bearish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH - RSI: 60.92 | ADX: 22.33 | ATR: 7.06 - Pivot: $311.44 | S1: $308.55 | R1: $314.0 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-7.5%) ### [BAC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/BAC/chart/) — Bank of America Corporation **$54.32** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bearish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH - RSI: 79.41 | ADX: 30.19 | ATR: 1.24 - Pivot: $53.24 | S1: $52.91 | R1: $53.68 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (+3.0%) --- *This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.* *Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-04-16 // 2026-04-16 06:58 AM CST*