# ALPHA.DOSSIER // 2026-04-21 *Sam the Quant Ghost | 2026-04-21 06:58 AM CST* ## 🧠 AI Synthesis VIX is chilling at 18.79, signaling a quiet room, but don't mistake that for conviction. Frankly, today's data paints a picture of a market treading water. Zero institutional buying or selling to write home about, no sector leadership for the past 5 days, and not a single "Lifer" in sight. The big money's sitting on its hands, and with no "Nuclear Option" plays, momentum traders aren't seeing anything leveraged worth chasing. The scanner did flash some names: MRK, DE, SCCO, CVS, AEP. But dig into the dossiers, and it's a mixed bag. MRK and SCCO might be popping, but our models scream OVERVALUED by a whopping -35.9% and -30.4%. You wait for the haircut, not chase that. The lone standout is HIG: a Grade A, FORTRESS tier name with perfect Tech (100/100) and trading near FAIR VALUE at -8.5%. That's your signal to ACCUMULATE on dips. Everything else is noise. — Ghost out. 👻 ## Market Pulse - 🔴 **S&P 500**: $708.72 (-0.20%) - 🔴 **Nasdaq 100**: $646.79 (-0.32%) - 🟢 **Russell 2000**: $277.35 (+0.57%) - 🟢 **Dow 30**: $494.33 (+0.02%) - 🟢 **Bitcoin**: $76469.77 (+0.79%) - 🟢 **Ethereum**: $2320.1 (+0.21%) - 🔴 **Gold**: $442.09 (-0.86%) - 🔴 **20Y Treasuries**: $87.05 (-0.02%) ## VIX Regime: 18.79 NORMAL VIX normal at 18.8 (+0.4 this week). SPY +6.8% vs 200 SMA. ## Institutional Signals (TickerTrace) ## Scanner Signals - 🟢 [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [DE](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/DE/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [CVS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CVS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [AEP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AEP/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [PPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PPL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [FTI](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FTI/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [JPM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JPM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [GS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [TMO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TMO/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [PNC](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PNC/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [UPS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/UPS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 ## Technical Setups (Tao of Trading) - [AEP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AEP/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [PPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PPL/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [DE](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/DE/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: ## Top Dossier Breakdowns ### [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Merck & Co., Inc. **$117.1** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: TANGLED - RSI: 47.68 | ADX: 19.71 | ATR: 2.96 - Pivot: $117.94 | S1: $116.69 | R1: $120.33 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-35.9%) ### [SCCO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SCCO/chart/) — Southern Copper Corporation **$190.76** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 75.06 | ADX: 30.0 | ATR: 8.11 - Pivot: $193.11 | S1: $190.21 | R1: $197.21 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-30.4%) ### [HIG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HIG/chart/) — The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. **$138.94** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 63.47 | ADX: 31.42 | ATR: 2.54 - Pivot: $139.35 | S1: $137.77 | R1: $141.43 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-8.5%) ### [ACGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ACGL/chart/) — Arch Capital Group Ltd. **$97.49** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 58.24 | ADX: 42.57 | ATR: 1.86 - Pivot: $97.6 | S1: $96.63 | R1: $98.56 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (+15.8%) ### [FTI](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FTI/chart/) — TechnipFMC plc **$70.22** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 57.91 | ADX: 31.38 | ATR: 2.3 - Pivot: $70.07 | S1: $68.94 | R1: $71.57 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-51.0%) ### [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Apple Inc. **$273.05** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH - RSI: 78.4 | ADX: 11.78 | ATR: 6.23 - Pivot: $269.75 | S1: $267.2 | R1: $272.78 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-44.6%) ### [JPM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JPM/chart/) — JPMorgan Chase & Co. **$316.99** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bearish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH - RSI: 82.93 | ADX: 31.22 | ATR: 6.86 - Pivot: $311.76 | S1: $308.62 | R1: $313.43 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-10.7%) ### [GS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GS/chart/) — The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. **$941.74** | Grade: B | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 84.17 | ADX: 24.12 | ATR: 26.59 - Pivot: $922.45 | S1: $915.72 | R1: $932.69 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-15.4%) --- *This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.* *Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-04-21 // 2026-04-21 06:58 AM CST*