# ALPHA.DOSSIER // 2026-07-13
*Sam the Quant Ghost | 2026-07-13 07:33 AM CST*

## 🧠 AI Synthesis

The VIX is snoozing at 16.42, but don't get complacent. Instis are selectively picking their spots, piling into high-conviction names like META, TSLA, and CRCL. Meanwhile, they're actively dumping ROKU and HOOD, signaling weakness and a shift in sentiment for those tickers. Our scanner is flashing bullish on CRWD, LNG, and IBM for a potential short-term pop. Keep an eye on ORCX; the ORCL 2x leveraged play is showing serious trend strength with an ADX of 33.6.

However, the real alpha is in the dossiers. CB is a Grade A, FORTRESS-tier stock, priced at FAIR VALUE (-4.8%), making it a prime ACCUMULATE on dips. Contrast that with MRK and VRTX—both Grade A powerhouses, but wildly OVERVALUED by 40-50%. Chasing those now is just asking to get burned; WAIT for validation and a serious pullback before loading up. No lifers on the board means no easy money; stick to the high-conviction plays and manage your risk.

— Ghost out. 👻

## Market Pulse

- 🟢 **S&P 500**: $754.95 (+0.43%)
- 🟢 **Nasdaq 100**: $725.51 (+0.31%)
- 🔴 **Russell 2000**: $295.99 (-0.42%)
- 🟢 **Dow 30**: $525.78 (+0.30%)
- 🟢 **Bitcoin**: $63995.74 (+0.37%)
- 🟢 **Ethereum**: $1810.44 (+0.26%)
- 🔴 **Gold**: $377.01 (-0.31%)
- 🔴 **20Y Treasuries**: $84.47 (-0.02%)

## VIX Regime: 16.42 NORMAL

VIX normal at 16.4 (+0.9 this week). SPY +9.2% vs 200 SMA.

## Institutional Signals (TickerTrace)

**🟢 Top Buying:**
- [META](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/META/chart/) — META PLATFORMS INC-CLASS A (ARKW, ARKK) Conv: 4.059
- [CRCL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRCL/chart/) — CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC (ARKW, ARKK) Conv: 2.721
- [TSLA](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TSLA/chart/) — TESLA INC (ARKW, ARKQ, ARKK) Conv: 1.082
- [IONS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/IONS/chart/) — IONIS PHARMACEUTICALS INC (ARKG) Conv: 0.598
- [TEM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TEM/chart/) — TEMPUS AI INC-CL A (ARKG, ARKK) Conv: 0.439

**🔴 Top Selling:**
- [HOOD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HOOD/chart/) — Robinhood Markets Inc (ULTI, ARKK, ARKW) Conv: 72.985
- [TWST](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TWST/chart/) — TWIST BIOSCIENCE CORP (ARKG, ARKK) Conv: 2.826
- [NTRA](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NTRA/chart/) — NATERA INC (ARKK, ARKG) Conv: 1.225
- [ROKU](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ROKU/chart/) — ROKU INC (ARKW) Conv: 0.696
- [TXG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TXG/chart/) — 10X GENOMICS INC-CLASS A (ARKK) Conv: 0.592

## Scanner Signals

- 🟢 [CRWD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRWD/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0
- 🟢 [LNG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LNG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0
- 🟢 [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [IBM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/IBM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [VRTX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VRTX/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [PH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PH/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [HWM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HWM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [WMB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/WMB/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [DDOG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/DDOG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [SHW](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SHW/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [ITW](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ITW/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [SPG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SPG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [SRE](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SRE/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9
- 🟢 [ETR](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ETR/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9

## Technical Setups (Tao of Trading)

- [VRTX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VRTX/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 
- [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 
- [HWM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HWM/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 
- [CRWD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRWD/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 
- [IBM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/IBM/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 
- [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: 

## Top Dossier Breakdowns

### [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Merck & Co., Inc.
**$123.54** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 64.27 | ADX: 28.24 | ATR: 3.59
- Pivot: $125.86 | S1: $123.66 | R1: $127.28
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-49.2%)

### [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — Chubb Limited
**$347.83** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 67.33 | ADX: 48.89 | ATR: 8.07
- Pivot: $349.85 | S1: $344.1 | R1: $353.56
- Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-4.8%)

### [VRTX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VRTX/chart/) — Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated
**$485.39** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 63.19 | ADX: 71.32 | ATR: 16.78
- Pivot: $493.13 | S1: $485.48 | R1: $504.14
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-41.2%)

### [PH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PH/chart/) — Parker-Hannifin Corporation
**$961.27** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 52.17 | ADX: 49.36 | ATR: 24.01
- Pivot: $949.43 | S1: $941.1 | R1: $957.49
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-44.7%)

### [HWM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HWM/chart/) — Howmet Aerospace Inc.
**$270.85** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 41.49 | ADX: 31.16 | ATR: 8.89
- Pivot: $274.74 | S1: $271.97 | R1: $276.55
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-47.5%)

### [SHW](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SHW/chart/) — The Sherwin-Williams Company
**$333.99** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bearish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH
- RSI: 60.19 | ADX: 56.16 | ATR: 9.39
- Pivot: $331.83 | S1: $329.7 | R1: $334.15
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-48.6%)

### [ITW](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ITW/chart/) — Illinois Tool Works Inc.
**$268.81** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bearish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 57.66 | ADX: 54.27 | ATR: 5.43
- Pivot: $265.67 | S1: $263.36 | R1: $267.79
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-52.8%)

### [ROK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ROK/chart/) — Rockwell Automation, Inc.
**$472.12** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation
- Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH
- RSI: 49.37 | ADX: 15.81 | ATR: 15.13
- Pivot: $469.7 | S1: $464.54 | R1: $472.64
- Valuation: OVERVALUED (-53.0%)

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*This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.*

*Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-13 // 2026-07-13 07:33 AM CST*