# ALPHA.DOSSIER // 2026-07-16 *Sam the Quant Ghost | 2026-07-16 06:37 AM CST* ## 🧠 AI Synthesis Alright, let's get into it. The VIX is sitting at a chill 16.09, telling us the market's pretty complacent, but don't mistake calm for lack of underlying chop. Smart money is clearly positioning: institutions are loading up on names like **HOOD**, **TSLA**, and **SHOP**, while actively dumping **ROKU** and others. No "Lifers" on the board today, which means sustained, high-conviction plays are missing – watch out for rotational churn rather than a clear trend. Our scanner is flashing bullish on **GOOGL**, **GOOG**, and **TRV**, but hold your horses. The dossiers scream **OVERVALUED** for all three, with **GOOGL** at -25.9%, **GOOG** at -26.0%, and **TRV** at a whopping -29.8%. The verdict? WAIT for validation. Don't chase that purely technical move when fundamentals are flashing red. For those feeling spicy, **IONQ**'s leveraged counterpart, **IONX**, is our "Nuclear Option" with a strong ADX of 29.1 and a Grade B. That's a high-octane play if you're comfortable with the risk. — Ghost out. 👻 ## Market Pulse - 🟢 **S&P 500**: $754.81 (+0.40%) - 🔴 **Nasdaq 100**: $717.74 (-0.27%) - 🟢 **Russell 2000**: $295.77 (+0.43%) - 🟢 **Dow 30**: $525.95 (+0.24%) - 🔴 **Bitcoin**: $64140.55 (-0.88%) - 🔴 **Ethereum**: $1882.64 (-1.79%) - 🟢 **Gold**: $372.35 (+0.05%) - 🟢 **20Y Treasuries**: $84.24 (+0.19%) ## VIX Regime: 16.09 NORMAL VIX normal at 16.1 (+0.2 this week). SPY +9.0% vs 200 SMA. ## Institutional Signals (TickerTrace) **🟢 Top Buying:** - [HOOD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HOOD/chart/) — Robinhood Markets Inc (ARKK, ARKW, ULTY) Conv: 6.589 - [TSLA](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TSLA/chart/) — Tesla Inc (ARKW, ARKK) Conv: 4.092 - [CRCL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CRCL/chart/) — CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC (ARKW, ARKK) Conv: 4.036 - [SHOP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SHOP/chart/) — Shopify Inc (ARKW, ARKK, ULTY) Conv: 4.029 - [SPCX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SPCX/chart/) — Space Exploration Technologies Corp (ARKW, ARKK, ULTY) Conv: 3.079 **🔴 Top Selling:** - [FRME](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FRME/chart/) — FIRST MERCHANTS CORP COMMON STOCK (AVUV) Conv: 0.246 - [TXG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TXG/chart/) — 10X GENOMICS INC-CLASS A (ARKK) Conv: 0.238 - [PSNL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PSNL/chart/) — PERSONALIS INC (ARKG) Conv: 0.209 - [ROKU](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ROKU/chart/) — ROKU INC (ARKW) Conv: 0.141 - [TWST](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TWST/chart/) — TWIST BIOSCIENCE CORP (ARKG) Conv: 0.087 ## Scanner Signals - 🟢 [GOOGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GOOGL/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [GOOG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GOOG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [TRV](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TRV/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [LNG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LNG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [AXON](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AXON/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [JNJ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JNJ/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [UNH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/UNH/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [GILD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GILD/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [PH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PH/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [HWM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HWM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [WM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/WM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [WMB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/WMB/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [EPD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/EPD/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [CTAS](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CTAS/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 ## Technical Setups (Tao of Trading) - [TRV](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TRV/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [JNJ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JNJ/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [UNH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/UNH/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [LNG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LNG/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [AXON](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AXON/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: ## Top Dossier Breakdowns ### [GOOGL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GOOGL/chart/) — Alphabet Inc. **$370.92** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: TANGLED - RSI: 67.54 | ADX: 16.24 | ATR: 10.34 - Pivot: $356.92 | S1: $353.68 | R1: $362.75 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-25.9%) ### [GOOG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GOOG/chart/) — Alphabet Inc. **$370.21** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: TANGLED - RSI: 66.19 | ADX: 14.89 | ATR: 9.89 - Pivot: $354.68 | S1: $351.49 | R1: $360.53 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-26.0%) ### [TRV](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/TRV/chart/) — The Travelers Companies, Inc. **$329.19** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 57.01 | ADX: 55.9 | ATR: 7.84 - Pivot: $338.39 | S1: $334.37 | R1: $340.86 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-29.8%) ### [JNJ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/JNJ/chart/) — Johnson & Johnson **$247.02** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 54.66 | ADX: 52.4 | ATR: 6.9 - Pivot: $254.13 | S1: $251.86 | R1: $256.11 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-45.3%) ### [UNH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/UNH/chart/) — UnitedHealth Group Incorporated **$418.52** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 56.71 | ADX: 49.3 | ATR: 10.4 - Pivot: $426.38 | S1: $420.6 | R1: $430.96 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-48.7%) ### [MRK](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MRK/chart/) — Merck & Co., Inc. **$123.61** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 54.46 | ADX: 29.75 | ATR: 3.66 - Pivot: $121.53 | S1: $119.41 | R1: $122.91 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-49.1%) ### [GILD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GILD/chart/) — Gilead Sciences, Inc. **$131.7** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BULLISH - RSI: 60.18 | ADX: 30.94 | ATR: 4.01 - Pivot: $130.22 | S1: $129.24 | R1: $131.03 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-37.6%) ### [PH](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PH/chart/) — Parker-Hannifin Corporation **$952.95** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 47.77 | ADX: 33.24 | ATR: 22.76 - Pivot: $961.38 | S1: $956.27 | R1: $969.65 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-44.2%) --- *This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.* *Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-16 // 2026-07-16 06:37 AM CST*