# ALPHA.DOSSIER // 2026-07-31 *Sam the Quant Ghost | 2026-07-31 06:58 AM CST* ## 🧠 AI Synthesis VIX at 17.02 confirms the market's chill, but institutional flows are a mixed bag. Smart money is rotating hard; NVDA saw action on both sides, suggesting profit-taking or short covering while fresh capital flowed into AAPL, MSFT, and V. Conversely, AMD, FIVE, and RIOT got dumped. Our scanner flags a defensive lean into CVX, COP, and VZ, alongside quality names like HON and PLD. No lifers means conviction plays are elusive, requiring surgical precision. For aggressive plays, the "Nuclear Option" is firing on MPL (leveraged MP) with an ADX of 35.6, indicating strong trend momentum. On the quality front, our dossiers scream "wait" on HON and ADP, both Grade A but massively overvalued by 26.4% and 46.6% respectively. The real gem is CB: a FORTRESS tier stock at fair value (-15.3%), ripe for accumulation on dips. Don't chase froth; pick your spots. — Ghost out. 👻 ## Market Pulse - 🟢 **S&P 500**: $741.69 (+1.68%) - 🟢 **Nasdaq 100**: $683.55 (+3.30%) - 🟢 **Russell 2000**: $292.59 (+1.39%) - 🟢 **Dow 30**: $521.51 (+1.18%) - 🔴 **Bitcoin**: $63766.17 (-1.48%) - 🔴 **Ethereum**: $1881.81 (-1.85%) - 🟢 **Gold**: $377.16 (+1.64%) - 🔴 **20Y Treasuries**: $82.8 (-0.06%) ## VIX Regime: 17.02 NORMAL VIX normal at 17.0 (-1.6 this week). SPY +6.4% vs 200 SMA. ## Institutional Signals (TickerTrace) **🟢 Top Buying:** - [NVDA](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NVDA/chart/) — NVIDIA CORP (QDVO, GAMR, AIEQ) Conv: 275.518 - [AGPXX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AGPXX/chart/) — Invesco Government & Agency Portfolio 12/31/2031 (QDVO, DIVO, IDVO) Conv: 163.206 - [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Apple Inc (QDVO, AIEQ, DIVO) Conv: 118.386 - [MSFT](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/MSFT/chart/) — Microsoft Corp (GAMR, DIVO, QDVO) Conv: 115.014 - [V](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/V/chart/) — Visa Inc (IPAY, DIVO, QDVO) Conv: 96.083 **🔴 Top Selling:** - [NVDA](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/NVDA/chart/) — NVIDIA CORP (BLOX, ARKQ) Conv: 10.704 - [AMD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AMD/chart/) — Advanced Micro Devices Inc (ULTI, ARKQ) Conv: 8.239 - [FIVE](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/FIVE/chart/) — FIVE BELOW COMMON STOCK USD.01 (AVUV) Conv: 1.292 - [VSAT](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VSAT/chart/) — VIASAT INC COMMON STOCK USD.0001 (AVUV) Conv: 0.876 - [RIOT](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/RIOT/chart/) — Riot Platforms Inc (BLOX, ULTI) Conv: 1.308 ## Scanner Signals - 🟢 [CVX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CVX/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [COP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/COP/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [PLD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PLD/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [HON](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HON/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 1.0 - 🟢 [VZ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VZ/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [ADP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ADP/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [CNQ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CNQ/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [VLO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VLO/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [SU](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/SU/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [GM](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/GM/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [CP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CP/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [OXY](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/OXY/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [LNG](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/LNG/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime CHOP | Score: 0.9 - 🟢 [STT](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/STT/chart/) — Ghost Alpha V2 | Regime MODERATE | Score: 0.9 ## Technical Setups (Tao of Trading) - [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [AGPXX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AGPXX/chart/) — SINKING | EMA Stack: - [CVX](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CVX/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [PLD](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/PLD/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [ADP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ADP/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: - [CNQ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CNQ/chart/) — SAILING | EMA Stack: ## Top Dossier Breakdowns ### [HON](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/HON/chart/) — HON **$241.91** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 67.38 | ADX: 38.54 | ATR: 6.84 - Pivot: $242.56 | S1: $238.88 | R1: $244.8 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-26.4%) ### [CB](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CB/chart/) — Chubb Limited **$350.15** | Grade: A | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 51.31 | ADX: 16.4 | ATR: 8.85 - Pivot: $362.8 | S1: $359.69 | R1: $365.01 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-15.3%) ### [ADP](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/ADP/chart/) — Automatic Data Processing, Inc. **$263.87** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 64.16 | ADX: 47.62 | ATR: 9.53 - Pivot: $271.82 | S1: $263.05 | R1: $282.14 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-46.6%) ### [CNQ](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/CNQ/chart/) — Canadian Natural Resources Limited **$47.28** | Grade: B | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 72.85 | ADX: 58.98 | ATR: 1.24 - Pivot: $46.15 | S1: $45.76 | R1: $46.85 - Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-10.7%) ### [VLO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/VLO/chart/) — Valero Energy Corporation **$311.71** | Grade: B | ACCUMULATE on dips - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 68.19 | ADX: 53.16 | ATR: 11.65 - Pivot: $304.21 | S1: $298.43 | R1: $307.09 - Valuation: UNDERVALUED (+100.9%) ### [AAPL](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AAPL/chart/) — Apple Inc. **$333.43** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 64.43 | ADX: 46.5 | ATR: 8.1 - Pivot: $340.04 | S1: $335.5 | R1: $342.72 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-49.7%) ### [AVGO](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/AVGO/chart/) — Broadcom Inc. **$387.84** | Grade: B | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: PARTIAL BEARISH - RSI: 45.04 | ADX: 12.99 | ATR: 15.57 - Pivot: $375.32 | S1: $364.51 | R1: $381.12 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-25.6%) ### [V](https://www.tradingview.com/symbols/V/chart/) — V **$366.27** | Grade: A | WAIT for validation - Trend: Bullish | EMA Stack: FULL BULLISH - RSI: 64.78 | ADX: 38.05 | ATR: 8.33 - Pivot: $366.06 | S1: $358.15 | R1: $376.64 - Valuation: OVERVALUED (-40.7%) --- *This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.* *Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-31 // 2026-07-31 06:58 AM CST*