STRATEGY REPORT: ACHR

// Archer Aviation Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution
Market Move Count Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%) 8 1.6%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%) 49 9.8%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%) 93 18.6%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%) 70 14.0%
Quiet (< ±1%) 108 21.6%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%) 38 7.6%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%) 57 11.4%
Large Rise (5% to 10%) 53 10.6%
Extreme Rise (> 10%) 25 5.0%
analyticsDISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Combined "Extreme" moves (>10% drop or rise) occur ~6.6% of the time.
- "Quiet" days are common (~21.6%).
Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS
44.3%
DOWN DAYS
55.7%
Streak Frequency
1-Day 119
2-Day 60
3-Day 31
4-Day 17
5-Day 6
6+ Day 11
boltTACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.