Strategy Report - AVGO

STRATEGY REPORT: AVGO

// Broadcom Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	4	0.8%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	17	3.4%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	53	10.6%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	78	15.6%
Quiet (< ±1%)	171	34.1%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	90	18.0%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	59	11.8%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	23	4.6%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	6	1.2%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Quiet Days: ~34% of the time. Don't force trades here.

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

53.5%

DOWN DAYS

46.5%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	136
2-Day	50
3-Day	30
4-Day	15
5-Day	13
6+ Day	8

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.