Strategy Report - CLS

STRATEGY REPORT: CLS

// Celestica Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	9	1.8%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	33	6.6%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	58	11.6%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	62	12.4%
Quiet (< ±1%)	109	21.8%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	81	16.2%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	96	19.2%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	47	9.4%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	6	1.2%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Combined "Extreme" moves (>10% drop or rise) occur ~3.0% of the time.
- "Quiet" days are common (~21.8%).

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

57.3%

DOWN DAYS

42.7%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	109
2-Day	55
3-Day	27
4-Day	19
5-Day	10
6+ Day	11

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.