Strategy Report - GLXY

STRATEGY REPORT: GLXY

// Galaxy Digital | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	7	3.7%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	26	13.9%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	24	12.8%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	22	11.8%
Quiet (< ±1%)	21	11.2%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	22	11.8%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	34	18.2%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	24	12.8%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	7	3.7%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Combined "Extreme" moves (>10% drop or rise) occur ~7.5% of the time.
- "Quiet" days are relatively rare (~11.2%).

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

52.4%

DOWN DAYS

47.6%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	61
2-Day	19
3-Day	9
4-Day	5
5-Day	3
6+ Day	4

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.