Strategy Report - MU

STRATEGY REPORT: MU

// Micron Technology, Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	6	1.2%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	15	3.0%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	77	15.4%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	75	15.0%
Quiet (< ±1%)	131	26.1%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	66	13.2%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	85	17.0%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	39	7.8%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	7	1.4%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Combined "Extreme" moves (>10% drop or rise) occur ~2.6% of the time.
- "Quiet" days are common (~26.1%).

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

54.5%

DOWN DAYS

45.5%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	110
2-Day	62
3-Day	27
4-Day	10
5-Day	13
6+ Day	11

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.