Strategy Report - NFLX

STRATEGY REPORT: NFLX

// Netflix, Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	1	0.2%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	4	0.8%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	31	6.2%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	78	15.6%
Quiet (< ±1%)	238	47.5%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	113	22.6%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	32	6.4%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	3	0.6%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	1	0.2%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Quiet Days: ~47% of the time. Don't force trades here.

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

50.9%

DOWN DAYS

49.1%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	127
2-Day	50
3-Day	35
4-Day	16
5-Day	7
6+ Day	10

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.