STRATEGY REPORT: NVDA

// NVIDIA Corporation | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution
Market Move Count Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%) 2 0.4%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%) 21 4.2%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%) 58 11.6%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%) 73 14.6%
Quiet (< ±1%) 162 32.3%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%) 83 16.6%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%) 82 16.4%
Large Rise (5% to 10%) 17 3.4%
Extreme Rise (> 10%) 3 0.6%
analyticsDISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Quiet Days: ~32% of the time. Don't force trades here.
Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS
53.1%
DOWN DAYS
46.9%
Streak Frequency
1-Day 148
2-Day 58
3-Day 34
4-Day 15
5-Day 9
6+ Day 5
boltTACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.