Strategy Report - PTRN

STRATEGY REPORT: PTRN

// Pattern Group Inc. | 2026-02-16 14:53

Volatility Distribution

Market Move	Count	Probability
Extreme Drop (> -10%)	6	5.9%
Large Drop (-5% to -10%)	4	4.0%
Moderate Drop (-2.5% to -5%)	17	16.8%
Normal Drop (-1% to -2.5%)	18	17.8%
Quiet (< ±1%)	24	23.8%
Normal Rise (1% to 2.5%)	9	8.9%
Moderate Rise (2.5% to 5%)	12	11.9%
Large Rise (5% to 10%)	7	6.9%
Extreme Rise (> 10%)	4	4.0%

DISTRIBUTION INSIGHTS

- Extreme moves (Extreme Drop (> -10%)): Occur 5.9% of the time. Risks are higher.

Streak Analysis

DIRECTIONAL BIAS [2Y]

UP DAYS

44.6%

DOWN DAYS

55.4%

Streak	Frequency
1-Day	33
2-Day	16
3-Day	6
4-Day	2
5-Day	2

TACTICAL IMPLICATION

- Most common swing duration: 1 days.
- Probability of verifying extended trends diminishes significantly after Day 3.