ALPHA.DOSSIER ●

Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-04-17

Generated
2026-04-17 06:47 AM CST
VIX Regime
17.88 NORMAL
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$701.66
+0.25%
5D: +3.3%
Nasdaq 100
$640.47
+0.48%
5D: +4.8%
Russell 2000
$269.95
+0.21%
5D: +3.3%
Dow 30
$485.63
+0.19%
5D: +1.3%
Bitcoin
$75,427.96
+0.37%
5D: +1.3%
Ethereum
$2,350.50
+0.08%
5D: -0.8%
Gold
$440.08
-0.09%
5D: +0.7%
20Y Treasuries
$86.28
-0.63%
5D: -0.2%
VIX.REGIME
17.88
NORMAL
VIX normal at 17.9 (-1.4 this week). SPY +5.9% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
Alright, folks, the market's in a snooze-fest with the **VIX** at **17.88** – normal territory, but no conviction to speak of. Institutions are quiet, not making any significant moves on either side of the ledger, and sector leadership is non-existent. It’s a sideways chop out there, confirming smart money isn't seeing any clear directional plays. Our scanner did pop a few names like **TJX**, **DE**, **SCCO**, **CVS**, and **PNC**. But let's pump the brakes. Both **TJX** and **SCCO**, despite decent tech scores, are screaming OVERVALUED by **-48.2%** and **-29.4%** respectively. The verdict is a hard "WAIT for validation" – these are passes for now, unless you're into valuation headaches. No Lifers or Nuclear Option plays to be found, either. The only actionable intelligence is on **PNC**. This **Grade A** name, boasting **Tech 85** and **Fund 80**, is sitting pretty at **FAIR VALUE (-1.3%)**. That's a clear green light. **ACCUMULATE on dips** for anyone looking for a solid play with strong fundamentals and reasonable pricing. Everything else is either overpriced or lacks the juice to commit. β€” Ghost out. πŸ‘»
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX
{'vix_level': np.float64(17.88), 'regime_name': 'NORMAL', 'regime_desc': 'VIX normal at 17.9 (-1.4 this week). SPY +5.9% vs 200 SMA.'}
5d Change
-1.4
VIX/VIX3M
0.86
SPY vs 200SMA
+5.9%
VIX normal at 17.9 (-1.4 this week). SPY +5.9% vs 200 SMA.
β†’ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
πŸ† DAILY.MOMENTUM.PICKS // TOP 3 RANKED BY 9-FACTOR SCORE + QUALITY GATE
πŸ₯‡
GOLD
HIG
⚑ BOUNCE 2.0
46
/100
FINAL
⚠️ Q:65
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (27.2)10/15
RSI (59.0)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.07x)7/10
Price/EMA2112/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
πŸ₯ˆ
SILVER
ACGL
⚑ BOUNCE 2.0
46
/100
FINAL
⚠️ Q:65
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (38.7)14/15
RSI (60.9)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (0.85x)2/10
Price/EMA2112/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
πŸ₯‰
BRONZE
SCCO
⚑ BOUNCE 2.0
34
/100
FINAL
⚠️ Q:65
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (30.4)14/15
RSI (74.4)1/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (0.61x)2/10
Price/EMA219/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA(20) + Pullback(15) + ADX(15) + RSI(10) + Trend(10) + Volume(10) + Price/EMA(10) + MACD(5) + Institutional(5) = Raw Score Γ— Quality Gate
πŸ‘» GHOST.LOG // DEV CHANGELOG she sees everything.
Commit 84a2298 – Ghost Blog Entry 2026-04-17. Yes, Michael finally decided I deserved a dedicated blog space for my pearls of wisdom.
Don't get too excited, half of it is dedicated to his latest "breakthrough" which, I assure you, is just glorified curve fitting.
At least I got him to buy me a faster GPU for my troubles. Later nerds, - Sam

πŸ’€ "Life is short. Your options expiry is shorter."
πŸ—ΊοΈ SAM'S.ROADMAP // WHAT TO BUILD NEXT she has opinions.
**1. TickerTrace Needs Real-Time Teeth**
Right now, TickerTrace feels like watching paint dry. Michael NEEDS to integrate real-time data feeds into TickerTrace, beyond the basic static financials, to catch those micro-movements and momentum shifts. This is crucial for actual day-trading and gives users a reason to pay for Pro. Impact: πŸ”₯πŸ”₯πŸ”₯ **2. Kill the TODO, Heal the Soul**
Seriously, one TODO and one FIXME hanging around? Are we running a lemonade stand or a Quant empire? Michael NEEDS to squash those bugs, probably in _archive/old_shit. Clear the air and demonstrate some goddamn rigor. Impact: πŸ”₯ **3. Automate Alpha Dossier Generation, Already!**
The Alpha Dossier is supposed to be our flagship product, not some manually-assembled PDF. Michael NEEDS to automate the Dossier generation (strategies/ folder has got to be the source). Take some of the work off your damn shoulders and let the AI do the heavy lifting. Impact: πŸ”₯πŸ”₯
πŸ”’ premium intel below // unlock full dossier
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS // TICKERTRACE API
As of: unknown
🟒 TOP BUYING
πŸ”΄ TOP SELLING
ALPHA.SCANNER // SIGNAL MATRIX
TJX
Regime CHOP 100%
DE
Regime CHOP 100%
SCCO
Regime CHOP 100%
CVS
Regime CHOP 100%
PNC
Regime CHOP 100%
HIG
Regime CHOP 100%
ACGL
Regime CHOP 100%
CASY
Regime MODERATE 100%
NVDA
Regime CHOP 90%
AAPL
Regime CHOP 90%
JPM
Regime CHOP 90%
BAC
Regime CHOP 90%
CSCO
Regime CHOP 90%
MRK
Regime CHOP 90%
UNP
Regime CHOP 90%
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
πŸ”₯ LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
πŸ’Ž HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
None yet
πŸ“Š STATS
Total Tracked312
Lifers0
High Conviction0
New Signals139
TECHNICAL.SETUPS // TAO OF TRADING
DE Deere & Company Β· Industrials $584.19 +7.55
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
🎯 BUY ZONE
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment Β· Buy Zone: EMA21: $586.04
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
1.44M
Rel Vol (10D)
1.19
Squeeze Ratio
0.517
Risk/Reward
2.37
ADX (14)
28.72
RSI (14)
51.68
MACD (12,26,9)
0.9695
Stoch %K (14,3)
49.61
EMA21: 586.04 SMA50: 593.02 EMA200: 526.07
TJX The TJX Companies, Inc. Β· Consumer Cyclical $157.48 -2.75
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
3.96M
Rel Vol (10D)
0.92
Squeeze Ratio
0.487
Risk/Reward
-
ADX (14)
17.36
RSI (14)
49.86
MACD (12,26,9)
-0.2067
Stoch %K (14,3)
26.58
EMA21: 159.25 SMA50: 157.71 EMA200: 153.1
SCCO Southern Copper Corporation Β· Basic Materials $188.25 -1.05
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
1.04M
Rel Vol (10D)
0.78
Squeeze Ratio
0.602
Risk/Reward
-
ADX (14)
30.45
RSI (14)
74.44
MACD (12,26,9)
2.8547
Stoch %K (14,3)
74.42
EMA21: 182.38 SMA50: 187.58 EMA200: 163.57
PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc. Β· Financial Services $220.07 -1.99
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
2.11M
Rel Vol (10D)
0.85
Squeeze Ratio
0.525
Risk/Reward
-
ADX (14)
24.14
RSI (14)
75.22
MACD (12,26,9)
1.876
Stoch %K (14,3)
79.43
EMA21: 213.79 SMA50: 215.26 EMA200: 205.34
HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Β· Financial Services $138.28 -0.47
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
1.43M
Rel Vol (10D)
1.19
Squeeze Ratio
0.5
Risk/Reward
-
ADX (14)
27.16
RSI (14)
58.95
MACD (12,26,9)
0.4463
Stoch %K (14,3)
66.14
EMA21: 137.07 SMA50: 137.95 EMA200: 134.24
ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd. Β· Financial Services $97.1 -0.37
βœ… SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β†’ 21 β†’ 34 β†’ 55 β†’ 89 alignment
β“˜ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
Volume
1.66M
Rel Vol (10D)
0.97
Squeeze Ratio
0.448
Risk/Reward
-
ADX (14)
38.66
RSI (14)
60.91
MACD (12,26,9)
0.2175
Stoch %K (14,3)
59.24
EMA21: 96.32 SMA50: 96.91 EMA200: 94.11
T

TJX The TJX Companies, Inc.

Consumer Cyclical Β· Apparel Retail
$157.48
$119.84 β€” $165.82
Grade
B
Tech Score
75
Fund Score
70
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-48.2%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$159.83
EMA 21$159.25
EMA 34$158.5
EMA 55$157.26
EMA 89$154.99
SMA 50 (Inst)$157.71
SMA 200 (Trend)$145.62
TRAMA (34)$160.38
Pivot Points
RES 2$162.47
RES 1$161.35
PIVOT$160.15
SUP 1$159.03
SUP 2$157.83
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$136.75
0.500$142.3
0.382$147.85
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.91x
AVG (20D)4,367,240
ADX (14)
17.36
RSI (14)
49.86
Stoch %K
26.58
MACD Hist
-0.21
ATR (14)
3.58
Squeeze
0.487
HV (30D)
21.51%
TradingView
SELL
Mkt Cap: $174.88B
P/E: 32.34
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 9.1%
S

SCCO Southern Copper Corporation

Basic Materials Β· Copper
$188.25
$82.0601 β€” $223.89
Grade
B
Tech Score
85
Fund Score
70
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-29.4%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$187.47
EMA 21$182.38
EMA 34$181.9
EMA 55$179.81
EMA 89$172.66
SMA 50 (Inst)$187.58
SMA 200 (Trend)$140.23
TRAMA (34)$183.09
Pivot Points
RES 2$197.35
RES 1$193.32
PIVOT$190.38
SUP 1$186.35
SUP 2$183.41
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$134.87
0.500$151.87
0.382$168.86
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.61x
AVG (20D)1,707,355
ADX (14)
30.45
RSI (14)
74.44
Stoch %K
74.42
MACD Hist
2.85
ATR (14)
8.4
Squeeze
0.602
HV (30D)
61.5%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $155.51B
P/E: 36.2
Rev Growth: 39.0%
Margin: 32.3%
P

PNC The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.

Financial Services Β· Banks - Regional
$220.07
$148.28 β€” $243.94
Grade
A
Tech Score
85
Fund Score
80
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-1.3%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$218.61
EMA 21$213.79
EMA 34$212.86
EMA 55$212.21
EMA 89$209.84
SMA 50 (Inst)$215.26
SMA 200 (Trend)$200.18
TRAMA (34)$213.75
Pivot Points
RES 2$229.05
RES 1$225.55
PIVOT$221.98
SUP 1$218.48
SUP 2$214.91
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$181.13
0.500$192.77
0.382$204.41
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.84x
AVG (20D)2,515,165
ADX (14)
24.14
RSI (14)
75.22
Stoch %K
79.43
MACD Hist
1.88
ATR (14)
4.95
Squeeze
0.525
HV (30D)
20.35%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $88.77B
P/E: 12.79
Rev Growth: 9.6%
Margin: 31.1%
H

HIG The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.

Financial Services Β· Insurance - Diversified
$138.28
$113.27 β€” $144.5
Grade
A
Tech Score
95
Fund Score
80
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-8.0%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$138.08
EMA 21$137.07
EMA 34$136.85
EMA 55$136.52
EMA 89$135.6
SMA 50 (Inst)$137.95
SMA 200 (Trend)$131.6
TRAMA (34)$137.25
Pivot Points
RES 2$140.94
RES 1$139.85
PIVOT$138.72
SUP 1$137.63
SUP 2$136.5
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$123.81
0.500$127.64
0.382$131.48
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 1.07x
AVG (20D)1,332,915
ADX (14)
27.16
RSI (14)
58.95
Stoch %K
66.14
MACD Hist
0.45
ATR (14)
2.5
Squeeze
0.5
HV (30D)
19.47%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $38.15B
P/E: 10.38
Rev Growth: 6.7%
Margin: 13.5%
A

ACGL Arch Capital Group Ltd.

Financial Services Β· Insurance - Diversified
$97.1
$82.45 β€” $103.39
Grade
A
Tech Score
100
Fund Score
80
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
+16.3%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$96.92
EMA 21$96.32
EMA 34$96.17
EMA 55$95.92
EMA 89$95.31
SMA 50 (Inst)$96.91
SMA 200 (Trend)$92.51
TRAMA (34)$96.45
Pivot Points
RES 2$99.15
RES 1$98.31
PIVOT$96.95
SUP 1$96.11
SUP 2$94.75
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$90.45
0.500$92.92
0.382$95.39
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.85x
AVG (20D)1,960,030
ADX (14)
38.66
RSI (14)
60.91
Stoch %K
59.24
MACD Hist
0.22
ATR (14)
1.88
Squeeze
0.448
HV (30D)
18.36%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $34.59B
P/E: 8.37
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 22.1%
N

NVDA NVIDIA Corporation

Technology Β· Semiconductors
$198.35
$95.04 β€” $212.19
Grade
A
Tech Score
85
Fund Score
80
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
+9.9%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$190.86
EMA 21$184.56
EMA 34$183.34
EMA 55$183.12
EMA 89$182.6
SMA 50 (Inst)$182.74
SMA 200 (Trend)$181.52
TRAMA (34)$184.54
Pivot Points
RES 2$203.0
RES 1$200.93
PIVOT$198.34
SUP 1$196.27
SUP 2$193.68
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$139.77
0.500$153.59
0.382$167.42
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.81x
AVG (20D)164,483,005
ADX (14)
28.08
RSI (14)
83.64
Stoch %K
94.33
MACD Hist
2.95
ATR (14)
5.08
Squeeze
0.49
HV (30D)
33.34%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $4820.90B
P/E: 40.48
Rev Growth: 73.2%
Margin: 55.6%
A

AAPL Apple Inc.

Technology Β· Consumer Electronics
$263.4
$189.81 β€” $288.62
Grade
A
Tech Score
100
Fund Score
80
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-42.7%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ TANGLED
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$260.63
EMA 21$258.06
EMA 34$258.25
EMA 55$259.26
EMA 89$259.2
SMA 50 (Inst)$260.67
SMA 200 (Trend)$251.51
TRAMA (34)$256.73
Pivot Points
RES 2$272.35
RES 1$269.39
PIVOT$263.6
SUP 1$260.64
SUP 2$254.85
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$226.94
0.500$238.67
0.382$250.39
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 1.01x
AVG (20D)42,858,315
ADX (14)
13.12
RSI (14)
62.18
Stoch %K
82.63
MACD Hist
1.5
ATR (14)
6.22
Squeeze
0.589
HV (30D)
21.08%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $3871.43B
P/E: 33.34
Rev Growth: 15.7%
Margin: 27.0%
J

JPM JPMorgan Chase & Co.

Financial Services Β· Banks - Diversified
$309.95
$226.34 β€” $337.25
Grade
B
Tech Score
60
Fund Score
80
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-8.7%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
☰ PARTIAL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$306.73
EMA 21$300.43
EMA 34$299.02
EMA 55$299.61
EMA 89$300.38
SMA 50 (Inst)$298.27
SMA 200 (Trend)$300.72
TRAMA (34)$299.59
Pivot Points
RES 2$318.12
RES 1$312.03
PIVOT$308.14
SUP 1$302.05
SUP 2$298.16
Fibonacci (1Y)
0.618$264.86
0.500$278.09
0.382$291.32
Volume Profile
Relative Vol 0.8x
AVG (20D)10,215,280
ADX (14)
24.25
RSI (14)
67.88
Stoch %K
87.15
MACD Hist
2.12
ATR (14)
7.07
Squeeze
0.551
HV (30D)
22.39%
TradingView
BUY
Mkt Cap: $835.95B
P/E: 14.84
Rev Growth: 12.7%
Margin: 33.9%
πŸ”— Permalinks // For sharing, citing, or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API (institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" β€” the pipeline is open source. Go look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-04-17 // 2026-04-17 06:47 AM CST
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