ALPHA.DOSSIER ●
Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-04-20
Generated
2026-04-20 07:03 AM CST
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$710.14
+1.21%
5D: +3.5%
Nasdaq 100
$648.85
+1.31%
5D: +5.1%
Russell 2000
$275.78
+2.16%
5D: +4.0%
Dow 30
$494.22
+1.81%
5D: +2.5%
Bitcoin
$75,197.99
+1.82%
5D: +0.1%
Ethereum
$2,308.39
+1.92%
5D: -1.7%
Gold
$445.93
+1.33%
5D: +2.4%
20Y Treasuries
$87.07
+0.92%
5D: +0.4%
VIX.REGIME
19.41
NORMAL
VIX normal at 19.4 (+0.3 this week). SPY +7.1% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
VIX is a snooze at 19.41, confirming zero broad market panic, yet institutions are completely ghosting us – no notable buying or selling. This, coupled with zero 5D sector leaders, screams a market devoid of conviction. Our scanner’s chirping bullish on AAPL, MRK, DE, CVS, and HIG, but don't blindly chase. Today's action is all about targeted plays, not a rising tide.
Dig into the dossiers for the real edge. MRK, despite the scanner buzz, is a hard pass; it's a whopping 36.9% OVERVALUED, so the verdict remains a firm "WAIT." Your real opportunities lie in the "ACCUMULATE on dips" plays: HIG, a FORTRESS tier stock, is at FAIR VALUE (-9.0%) and on the scanner. Even stronger is ACGL, another FORTRESS tier gem with 100/100 Tech and 15.7% upside to FAIR VALUE. These are your plays for current choppy action.
— Ghost out. 👻
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX
{'vix_level': np.float64(19.41), 'regime_name': 'NORMAL', 'regime_desc': 'VIX normal at 19.4 (+0.3 this week). SPY +7.1% vs 200 SMA.'}
VIX normal at 19.4 (+0.3 this week). SPY +7.1% vs 200 SMA.
→ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
🏆 DAILY.MOMENTUM.PICKS // TOP 3 RANKED BY 9-FACTOR SCORE + QUALITY
GATE
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (40.2)18/15
RSI (65.5)10/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (2.45x)15/10
Price/EMA2112/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (33.3)14/15
RSI (48.1)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.04x)7/10
Price/EMA218/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback0/15
ADX (18.5)5/15
RSI (48.7)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.54x)12/10
Price/EMA2112/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA(20) + Pullback(15) + ADX(15) + RSI(10) + Trend(10) + Volume(10) + Price/EMA(10) + MACD(5) +
Institutional(5) = Raw Score × Quality Gate
👻 GHOST.LOG // DEV CHANGELOG
she sees everything.
Michael pushed 1 commits today. Let me tell you, it was a ride.
Highlight reel: "👻 Ghost Blog Entry 2026-04-20" — groundbreaking stuff.
— 👻 The Ghost, signing off. Send coffee.
💀 "The market doesn't care about your feelings, your rent, or your divorce. Trade accordingly."
🗺️ SAM'S.ROADMAP // WHAT TO BUILD NEXT
she has opinions.
🔥🔥 Ship something. It's been quiet in here. The watchlist isn't going to diversify itself.
🔥 Add chart images to the blog. People want to SEE the EMA stack, not just read about it. We've got the data, just need to render it.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS
// TICKERTRACE API
As of: unknown
ALPHA.SCANNER // SIGNAL MATRIX
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
🔥 LIFERS (20+
Days)
No lifers in current window
💎 HIGH CONVICTION
(10-19D)
PLTR
10d
NVDA
10d
GOOGL
10d
AVGO
10d
V
10d
MA
10d
XOM
10d
MSFT
10d
META
10d
TSLA
10d
AMD
10d
MRVL
10d
QCOM
10d
COIN
10d
HOOD
10d
OXY
10d
AAPL
10d
AMZN
10d
TSM
10d
JPM
10d
GS
10d
SOFI
10d
📊 STATS
Total Tracked322
Lifers0
High Conviction22
New Signals134
TECHNICAL.SETUPS // TAO OF TRADING
FTI
TechnipFMC plc · Energy
$70.44
-2.36
✅ SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
🎯 BUY ZONE
⚡ BOUNCE 2.0 QUALIFIED
Stacked EMAs + ADX ≥ 20 + Stoch ≤ 40 — High probability trend
continuation setup
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
· Buy Zone: EMA21: $70.5
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 70.5
SMA50: 66.42
EMA200: 54.43
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc. · Healthcare
$119.07
+3.61
✅ SAILING
☰ FULL BULLISH
🎯 BUY ZONE
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
· Buy Zone: EMA21: $118.96
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 118.96
SMA50: 118.68
EMA200: 106.9
DE
Deere & Company · Industrials
$590.46
+6.27
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 586.44
SMA50: 593.52
EMA200: 527.16
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. · Financial Services
$139.84
+1.56
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 137.32
SMA50: 137.94
EMA200: 134.38
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd. · Financial Services
$97.59
+0.49
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 96.44
SMA50: 96.86
EMA200: 94.2
PPL
PPL Corporation · Utilities
$39.02
-0.32
EMA Stack: 8 → 21 → 34 → 55 → 89 alignment
ⓘ TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 38.73
SMA50: 37.84
EMA200: 36.35
M
MRK
Merck & Co., Inc.
Healthcare · Drug Manufacturers - General
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-36.9%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
Moving Averages
EMA 8$119.02
EMA 21$118.96
EMA 34$118.21
EMA 55$116.23
EMA 89$112.2
SMA
50 (Inst)$118.68
SMA 200 (Trend)$97.17
TRAMA (34)$120.64
Pivot Points
RES 2$119.15
RES 1$117.3
PIVOT$116.01
SUP 1$114.16
SUP 2$112.87
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$91.17
0.500$97.48
0.382$103.79
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.54x
AVG (20D)10,521,495
Mkt Cap: $294.39B
P/E: 16.36
Rev Growth: 5.0%
Margin: 28.1%
H
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-9.0%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
Moving Averages
EMA 8$138.47
EMA 21$137.32
EMA 34$137.02
EMA 55$136.63
EMA 89$135.68
SMA
50 (Inst)$137.94
SMA 200 (Trend)$131.67
TRAMA (34)$137.56
Pivot Points
RES 2$139.85
RES 1$139.07
PIVOT$137.98
SUP 1$137.2
SUP 2$136.11
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$123.81
0.500$127.64
0.382$131.48
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.24x
AVG (20D)1,341,620
Mkt Cap: $38.58B
P/E: 10.49
Rev Growth: 6.7%
Margin: 13.5%
A
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Financial Services · Insurance - Diversified
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
+15.7%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
Moving Averages
EMA 8$97.07
EMA 21$96.44
EMA 34$96.25
EMA 55$95.98
EMA 89$95.35
SMA
50 (Inst)$96.86
SMA 200 (Trend)$92.54
TRAMA (34)$96.6
Pivot Points
RES 2$98.38
RES 1$97.74
PIVOT$97.24
SUP 1$96.6
SUP 2$96.1
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$90.45
0.500$92.92
0.382$95.39
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
2.45x
AVG (20D)2,119,260
Mkt Cap: $34.77B
P/E: 8.41
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 22.1%
F
FTI
TechnipFMC plc
Energy · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-51.2%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
Moving Averages
EMA 8$72.04
EMA 21$70.5
EMA 34$68.51
EMA 55$65.28
EMA 89$60.69
SMA
50 (Inst)$66.42
SMA 200 (Trend)$47.66
TRAMA (34)$73.68
Pivot Points
RES 2$73.93
RES 1$73.36
PIVOT$72.27
SUP 1$71.7
SUP 2$70.61
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$43.83
0.500$49.88
0.382$55.93
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.04x
AVG (20D)3,789,430
Mkt Cap: $28.23B
P/E: 30.63
Rev Growth: 6.3%
Margin: 9.7%
G
GS
The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.
Financial Services · Capital Markets
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-14.0%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
Moving Averages
EMA 8$900.03
EMA 21$876.38
EMA 34$870.81
EMA 55$869.55
EMA 89$861.57
SMA
50 (Inst)$868.1
SMA 200 (Trend)$813.98
TRAMA (34)$875.1
Pivot Points
RES 2$913.38
RES 1$906.69
PIVOT$901.27
SUP 1$894.58
SUP 2$889.16
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$673.69
0.500$732.09
0.382$790.49
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.27x
AVG (20D)2,210,805
Mkt Cap: $274.78B
P/E: 16.92
Rev Growth: 14.5%
Margin: 29.4%
T
TJX
The TJX Companies, Inc.
Consumer Cyclical · Apparel Retail
$160.68
$119.84 — $165.82
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-49.2%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
Moving Averages
EMA 8$160.02
EMA 21$159.38
EMA 34$158.62
EMA 55$157.39
EMA 89$155.1
SMA
50 (Inst)$157.85
SMA 200 (Trend)$145.8
TRAMA (34)$160.51
Pivot Points
RES 2$163.09
RES 1$160.29
PIVOT$158.35
SUP 1$155.55
SUP 2$153.61
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$136.75
0.500$142.3
0.382$147.85
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.17x
AVG (20D)4,432,300
Mkt Cap: $178.43B
P/E: 32.99
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 9.1%
P
PNC
The PNC Financial Services Group, Inc.
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
$224.81
$148.28 — $243.94
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
+7.4%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
Moving Averages
EMA 8$219.99
EMA 21$214.79
EMA 34$213.54
EMA 55$212.66
EMA 89$210.17
SMA
50 (Inst)$215.05
SMA 200 (Trend)$200.37
TRAMA (34)$215.03
Pivot Points
RES 2$225.78
RES 1$222.92
PIVOT$221.4
SUP 1$218.54
SUP 2$217.02
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$181.13
0.500$192.77
0.382$204.41
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.01x
AVG (20D)2,516,320
Mkt Cap: $90.68B
P/E: 13.06
Rev Growth: 13.8%
Margin: 31.3%
U
USB
U.S. Bancorp
Financial Services · Banks - Regional
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-13.1%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
Moving Averages
EMA 8$55.72
EMA 21$54.35
EMA 34$54.0
EMA 55$53.74
EMA 89$53.03
SMA
50 (Inst)$54.28
SMA 200 (Trend)$49.79
TRAMA (34)$54.44
Pivot Points
RES 2$56.69
RES 1$56.08
PIVOT$55.62
SUP 1$55.01
SUP 2$54.55
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$45.21
0.500$48.14
0.382$51.08
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.06x
AVG (20D)10,660,550
Mkt Cap: $88.53B
P/E: 11.94
Rev Growth: 4.6%
Margin: 29.3%
🔗 Permalinks // For sharing, citing,
or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API
(institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by
GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" — the pipeline is open source. Go
look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-04-20 // 2026-04-20 07:03 AM CST