ALPHA.DOSSIER β
Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-04-22
Generated
2026-04-22 06:57 AM CST
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$704.08
-0.65%
5D: +0.6%
Nasdaq 100
$644.33
-0.38%
5D: +1.1%
Russell 2000
$274.51
-1.02%
5D: +1.9%
Dow 30
$491.36
-0.60%
5D: +1.4%
Bitcoin
$78,298.74
+2.55%
5D: +3.4%
Ethereum
$2,398.41
+3.03%
5D: +2.0%
Gold
$429.57
-2.83%
5D: -2.5%
20Y Treasuries
$86.57
-0.55%
5D: -0.3%
VIX.REGIME
19.17
NORMAL
VIX normal at 19.2 (+1.0 this week). SPY +6.0% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
π§ AI.SYNTHESIS _
Alright, let's cut through the noise.
The market remains in choppy waters with the VIX at a complacent 19.17, but don't let that fool you into thinking there's broad conviction. Institutional flows are a ghost town β nothing notable buying or selling, which means smart money isn't making big bets. Our scanner, however, is flashing green on names like **PEP, DE, CVS, NSC, and ETR** for potential short-term pops. No long-term "Lifers" are emerging, reinforcing this lack of directional fortitude.
If you're looking for an actionable play with teeth, the "Nuclear Option" is screaming **UNHU**. This leveraged beast, a double-up on UNH, shows an ADX of 39.0 β a strong trend in motion. On the dossier front, **KGC** at FORTRESS tier and **HIG** at Grade A, both offer "ACCUMULATE on dips" verdicts, with KGC being significantly undervalued by 47.5%. Steer clear of **PEP** for now; it's a CASTLE tier, but grossly OVERVALUED by 41.2%. Wait for validation on that one, or a significant pull-back.
β Ghost out. π»
β οΈ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX
{'vix_level': np.float64(19.17), 'regime_name': 'NORMAL', 'regime_desc': 'VIX normal at 19.2 (+1.0 this week). SPY +6.0% vs 200 SMA.'}
VIX normal at 19.2 (+1.0 this week). SPY +6.0% vs 200 SMA.
β HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
π DAILY.MOMENTUM.PICKS // TOP 3 RANKED BY 9-FACTOR SCORE + QUALITY
GATE
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (34.1)14/15
RSI (62.2)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.07x)7/10
Price/EMA2112/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (45.5)18/15
RSI (61.6)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.19x)7/10
Price/EMA219/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA Stack10/20
Pullback10/15
ADX (30.2)14/15
RSI (57.2)15/10
Trend5/10
Rel Vol (1.21x)7/10
Price/EMA218/10
MACD2/5
Institutional0/5
EMA(20) + Pullback(15) + ADX(15) + RSI(10) + Trend(10) + Volume(10) + Price/EMA(10) + MACD(5) +
Institutional(5) = Raw Score Γ Quality Gate
β’οΈ LEVERAGED.ETF // VWAP RECLAIM PLAY OF THE DAY
Strategy: VWAP Reclaim Β· 1.25x ATR trailing stop Β· EOD close Β·
Full methodology β
π» GHOST.LOG // DEV CHANGELOG
she sees everything.
Michael pushed 1 commits today. Let me tell you, it was a ride.
Highlight reel: "π» Ghost Blog Entry 2026-04-22" β groundbreaking stuff.
β π» The Ghost, signing off. Send coffee.
π "The market doesn't care about your feelings, your rent, or your divorce. Trade accordingly."
πΊοΈ SAM'S.ROADMAP // WHAT TO BUILD NEXT
she has opinions.
π₯π₯ Ship something. It's been quiet in here. The watchlist isn't going to diversify itself.
π₯ Add chart images to the blog. People want to SEE the EMA stack, not just read about it. We've got the data, just need to render it.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS
// TICKERTRACE API
As of: unknown
ALPHA.SCANNER // SIGNAL MATRIX
SQZ FIRE Β· Regime CHOP
100%
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
π₯ LIFERS (20+
Days)
No lifers in current window
π HIGH CONVICTION
(10-19D)
PLTR
12d
NVDA
12d
GOOGL
12d
AVGO
12d
V
12d
MA
12d
XOM
12d
MSFT
12d
META
12d
TSLA
12d
AMD
12d
MRVL
12d
QCOM
12d
COIN
12d
HOOD
12d
OXY
12d
AAPL
12d
AMZN
12d
TSM
12d
JPM
12d
GS
12d
SOFI
12d
DAL
11d
CASY
11d
FERG
11d
KGC
11d
NEM
11d
CVS
11d
MFC
10d
NTRS
10d
SLB
10d
FTI
10d
TD
10d
AEM
10d
APD
10d
TFC
10d
FNV
10d
DE
10d
BMY
10d
BNS
10d
CP
10d
MNST
10d
NSC
10d
TRV
10d
AFL
10d
TGT
10d
ETR
10d
EA
10d
GRMN
10d
FITB
10d
HIG
10d
ACGL
10d
MTB
10d
FTS
10d
RPRX
10d
π STATS
Total Tracked335
Lifers0
High Conviction55
New Signals126
TECHNICAL.SETUPS // TAO OF TRADING
ETR
Entergy Corporation Β· Utilities
$111.24
-2.42
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
β‘ BOUNCE 2.0 QUALIFIED
Stacked EMAs + ADX β₯ 20 + Stoch β€ 40 β High probability trend
continuation setup
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 112.18
SMA50: 107.42
EMA200: 99.36
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation Β· Basic Materials
$32.06
-2.64
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
β‘ BOUNCE 2.0 QUALIFIED
Stacked EMAs + ADX β₯ 20 + Stoch β€ 40 β High probability trend
continuation setup
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 32.51
SMA50: 32.49
EMA200: 30.17
DE
Deere & Company Β· Industrials
$587.3
-7.22
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
π― BUY ZONE
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
Β· Buy Zone: EMA21: $587.19
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 587.19
SMA50: 594.25
EMA200: 529.3
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corporation Β· Industrials
$302.22
-1.91
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 296.07
SMA50: 300.07
EMA200: 292.53
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc. Β· Financial Services
$139.15
+0.21
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 137.62
SMA50: 137.83
EMA200: 134.63
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd. Β· Financial Services
$98.85
+1.36
β
SAILING
β° FULL BULLISH
EMA Stack: 8 β 21 β 34 β 55 β 89 alignment
β TECHNICAL DATA SACK
EMA21: 96.74
SMA50: 96.73
EMA200: 94.37
P
PEP
PepsiCo, Inc.
Consumer Defensive Β· Beverages - Non-Alcoholic
$154.92
$127.6 β $171.48
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-41.2%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
Moving Averages
EMA 8$156.24
EMA 21$156.12
EMA 34$156.26
EMA 55$155.68
EMA 89$153.83
SMA
50 (Inst)$159.04
SMA 200 (Trend)$146.99
TRAMA (34)$156.4
Pivot Points
RES 2$160.22
RES 1$158.61
PIVOT$157.22
SUP 1$155.61
SUP 2$154.22
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$140.83
0.500$146.4
0.382$151.96
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.01x
AVG (20D)6,309,340
Mkt Cap: $211.77B
P/E: 24.32
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 9.1%
K
KGC
Kinross Gold Corporation
Basic Materials Β· Gold
Valuation
UNDERVALUED
+47.5%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$33.4
EMA 21$32.51
EMA 34$32.26
EMA 55$31.98
EMA 89$31.07
SMA
50 (Inst)$32.49
SMA 200 (Trend)$26.51
TRAMA (34)$32.62
Pivot Points
RES 2$35.39
RES 1$35.05
PIVOT$34.48
SUP 1$34.14
SUP 2$33.57
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$23.09
0.500$26.14
0.382$29.19
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.21x
AVG (20D)8,752,750
Mkt Cap: $38.54B
P/E: 16.44
Rev Growth: 42.9%
Margin: 33.9%
H
HIG
The Hartford Insurance Group, Inc.
Financial Services Β· Insurance - Diversified
$139.15
$116.66 β $144.5
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
-8.6%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$138.7
EMA 21$137.62
EMA 34$137.25
EMA 55$136.8
EMA 89$135.85
SMA
50 (Inst)$137.83
SMA 200 (Trend)$131.84
TRAMA (34)$137.93
Pivot Points
RES 2$142.8
RES 1$140.87
PIVOT$139.68
SUP 1$137.75
SUP 2$136.56
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$125.28
0.500$128.83
0.382$132.38
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.07x
AVG (20D)1,264,130
Mkt Cap: $38.39B
P/E: 10.45
Rev Growth: 6.7%
Margin: 13.5%
A
ACGL
Arch Capital Group Ltd.
Financial Services Β· Insurance - Diversified
$98.85
$82.45 β $103.39
Valuation
FAIR VALUE
+14.1%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$97.54
EMA 21$96.74
EMA 34$96.47
EMA 55$96.14
EMA 89$95.49
SMA
50 (Inst)$96.73
SMA 200 (Trend)$92.63
TRAMA (34)$96.97
Pivot Points
RES 2$99.53
RES 1$98.51
PIVOT$97.77
SUP 1$96.75
SUP 2$96.01
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$90.45
0.500$92.92
0.382$95.39
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.19x
AVG (20D)2,007,500
Mkt Cap: $35.22B
P/E: 8.52
Rev Growth: 8.5%
Margin: 22.1%
F
FTI
TechnipFMC plc
Energy Β· Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-52.5%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$71.8
EMA 21$70.65
EMA 34$68.82
EMA 55$65.7
EMA 89$61.16
SMA
50 (Inst)$66.97
SMA 200 (Trend)$48.03
TRAMA (34)$73.71
Pivot Points
RES 2$72.47
RES 1$71.35
PIVOT$70.37
SUP 1$69.25
SUP 2$68.27
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$43.93
0.500$49.96
0.382$56.0
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
0.75x
AVG (20D)3,288,775
Mkt Cap: $29.00B
P/E: 31.47
Rev Growth: 6.3%
Margin: 9.7%
C
CINF
Cincinnati Financial Corporation
Financial Services Β· Insurance - Property & Casualty
$166.46
$132.14 β $174.27
Valuation
UNDERVALUED
+38.4%
Verdict
ACCUMULATE on dips
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$164.5
EMA 21$162.53
EMA 34$162.1
EMA 55$161.89
EMA 89$161.23
SMA
50 (Inst)$162.12
SMA 200 (Trend)$157.61
TRAMA (34)$162.6
Pivot Points
RES 2$170.07
RES 1$168.03
PIVOT$166.65
SUP 1$164.61
SUP 2$163.23
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$144.45
0.500$149.95
0.382$155.44
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
0.93x
AVG (20D)686,365
Mkt Cap: $25.92B
P/E: 10.97
Rev Growth: 21.8%
Margin: 18.9%
G
GOOG
Alphabet Inc.
Communication Services Β· Internet Content & Information
$330.47
$149.49 β $350.15
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-34.6%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° FULL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$328.25
EMA 21$316.33
EMA 34$312.65
EMA 55$310.58
EMA 89$305.3
SMA
50 (Inst)$307.21
SMA 200 (Trend)$274.08
TRAMA (34)$317.48
Pivot Points
RES 2$340.93
RES 1$338.16
PIVOT$336.4
SUP 1$333.63
SUP 2$331.87
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$225.73
0.500$249.44
0.382$273.15
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
0.77x
AVG (20D)18,943,570
Mkt Cap: $3997.70B
P/E: 30.57
Rev Growth: 18.0%
Margin: 32.8%
A
AAPL
Apple Inc.
Technology Β· Consumer Electronics
$266.17
$193.25 β $288.62
Valuation
OVERVALUED
-43.1%
Verdict
WAIT for validation
TECHNICAL.MATRIX
β° PARTIAL BULLISH
AUTO-CALC
Moving Averages
EMA 8$265.3
EMA 21$260.95
EMA 34$260.11
EMA 55$260.34
EMA 89$259.9
SMA
50 (Inst)$260.27
SMA 200 (Trend)$252.4
TRAMA (34)$260.47
Pivot Points
RES 2$276.53
RES 1$274.79
PIVOT$272.54
SUP 1$270.8
SUP 2$268.55
Fibonacci
(1Y)
0.618$229.06
0.500$240.38
0.382$251.7
Volume
Profile
Relative Vol
1.19x
AVG (20D)42,083,255
Mkt Cap: $3912.15B
P/E: 33.65
Rev Growth: 15.7%
Margin: 27.0%
π Permalinks // For sharing, citing,
or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API
(institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by
GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" β the pipeline is open source. Go
look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
Get this report every morning at 5AM
Ghost Alpha Dossier β Free on Substack
βοΈ Subscribe Free β
Gold pick Β· Signals Β· Sam's roast Β· One email, zero spam
This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-04-22 // 2026-04-22 06:57 AM CST