ALPHA.DOSSIER ●

Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-05-18

Generated
2026-05-18 08:46 AM CST
VIX Regime
18.49 NORMAL
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$738.26
-0.12%
5D: +0.0%
Nasdaq 100
$708.60
-0.05%
5D: +0.2%
Russell 2000
$276.31
-0.46%
5D: -2.2%
Dow 30
$495.09
-0.06%
5D: -0.5%
Bitcoin
$76,756.92
-0.87%
5D: -5.3%
Ethereum
$2,120.97
-0.31%
5D: -7.0%
Gold
$419.34
+0.49%
5D: -3.1%
20Y Treasuries
$83.69
+0.04%
5D: -1.5%
VIX.REGIME
18.49
NORMAL
VIX normal at 18.5 (+0.1 this week). SPY +9.5% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
The VIX is flatlining at 18.49, signaling zero immediate panic, yet institutional activity is a ghost townβ€”no conviction from the big dogs today. We're seeing no clear sector leadership, with the 5-day leaders notably absent. Our scanner, however, is lighting up tech names like AVGO, SNPS, CDNS, and MCHP, alongside energy play MPLX. No lifers, meaning no sustained trends are gripping the market.

Diving into the dossiers, AVGO (Grade A) and CDNS (Grade B) are absolute CASTLE tier monsters, but they're trading at eye-watering premiums, overvalued by 45.8% and 51.1% respectively. The verdict is a hard "WAIT for validation" or a serious pullback. MPLX, a Grade B HOUSE tier play, is the dark horse here, sitting at a -8.7% fair value, making it an "ACCUMULATE on dips." For the risk-on crowd, KTUP (leveraged KTOS) is on the nuclear option radar with a strong ADX of 33.7. Momentum's there, but it's a Grade B speculative swing. Don't chase froth.

β€” Ghost out. πŸ‘»
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX
18.49
5d Change
+0.1
VIX/VIX3M
0.87
SPY vs 200SMA
+9.5%
VIX normal at 18.5 (+0.1 this week). SPY +9.5% vs 200 SMA.
β†’ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
πŸ”’ premium intel below // unlock full dossier
πŸ”ͺ DAILY.CUTS // PRIME Β· CHOICE Β· SELECT
Prime // MOMENTUM
CAT 48/100
$871.66 ⚑ BOUNCE
↳ Bounce 2.0 setup (EMA+ADX+Stoch); Trending (ADX 49.1); Full EMA stack
Choice // LEVERAGED ETF
KTOS B/Grade
Play: KTUP | ADX: 33.7
↳ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS // TICKERTRACE API
As of: unknown
🟒 TOP BUYING
πŸ”΄ TOP SELLING
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
πŸ”₯ Lifers: 0 πŸ’Ž HiConv: 159 Total: 303
πŸ”₯ LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
πŸ’Ž HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
PLTR 16d NVDA 16d GOOGL 16d AVGO 16d V 16d MA 16d XOM 16d MSFT 16d META 16d TSLA 16d +149 more
πŸ“Š TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS
AVGO
Broadcom Inc.
Grade
A
Tech: 95
Fund: 80
Price: $417.83
RSI: 57.06
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-45.8%)
View Deep Dive β†’
CDNS
Cadence Design Systems, Inc.
Grade
B
Tech: 60
Fund: 80
Price: $346.97
RSI: 69.05
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-51.1%)
View Deep Dive β†’
MPLX
MPLX LP
Grade
B
Tech: 75
Fund: 70
Price: $54.25
RSI: 51.37
ACCUMULATE on dips
Valuation: FAIR VALUE (-8.7%)
View Deep Dive β†’
πŸ”— Permalinks // For sharing, citing, or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API (institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" β€” the pipeline is open source. Go look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-05-18 // 2026-05-18 08:46 AM CST
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