ALPHA.DOSSIER ●

Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-06-25

Generated

2026-06-25 07:18 AM CST

VIX Regime

18.07 NORMAL

↓ PDF ↓ MD ⌥ src

🙂

MARKET.MOOD

Risk-On // NORMAL

VIX 18.07 · SPY -0.05%

Last 10 Days

🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂 🙂

👵 GRANDMA.MODE // PLAIN ENGLISH ▸ tap to translate

🙂 Just an ordinary day out there. Nothing's on fire, nothing's a party. Business as usual. The overall market is basically flat today. (The fear gauge sits at 18 — low and relaxed.)

⭐ Sam's favorite today is TJX — she scored it 45 out of 100. That just means it looked the strongest of the bunch, not a promise it'll go up.

In Other Words

VIX:: Wall Street's 'fear gauge.' Low number = calm, high number = scared. Above 30 means people are sweating.
SPY:: A single basket holding the 500 biggest US companies. When people say 'the market,' they usually mean this.
momentum:: Buying what's already going up and betting it keeps going — like a snowball rolling downhill.

This is plain-English education, not financial advice. When in doubt, ask someone you trust.

MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS

S&P 500

$733.24

-0.05%

5D: -0.8%

Nasdaq 100

$710.62

-0.42%

5D: -1.5%

Russell 2000

$296.69

+0.46%

5D: +2.4%

Dow 30

$518.52

+0.37%

5D: +0.7%

Bitcoin

$61,101.00

+0.17%

5D: -3.4%

Ethereum

$1,628.65

+0.54%

5D: -4.5%

Gold

$365.92

-3.02%

5D: -5.8%

20Y Treasuries

$87.38

+1.37%

5D: +1.2%

VIX.REGIME

18.07

NORMAL

VIX normal at 18.1 (-0.4 this week). SPY +6.9% vs 200 SMA.

SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS

🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _

Market's treading water with VIX at 18.07 – not panic, but no runaway train either. Whales are rotating hard: they're piling into META and AMZN, while dumping TSLA, AMD, and TER. No long-term Lifers today means conviction is low, so watch for rapid reversals.

Scanner is flashing bullish on AMD and TER, which directly conflicts with institutional selling – a classic bearish divergence or a potential bear trap if shorts get squeezed. Tread carefully. Meanwhile, our dossiers on ANET, HWM, and TER all scream "OVERVALUED" by 29-48% despite top fundamentals; don't chase these until we get price validation. For the aggressive, BABX offers a leveraged BABA play with ADX at 30.4, but stay nimble.

— Ghost out. 👻

🌤️ MARKET.WEATHER // CONTANGO

Calm contango, VIX 18.1. Green light.

🎯 TODAY'S.WATCHLIST // 5 CONVERGENCES

SO 2 legs

trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8) triangle · triangle_breakout (score 76)

DUK 2 legs

trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8) triangle · triangle_breakout (score 87)

ABNB 2 legs

trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8) triangle · triangle_breakout (score 70)

EMR 2 legs

trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8) triangle · triangle_breakout (score 70)

AMZN 2 legs

trend · Core Watchlist (score 0.5) institutional · 13F buying

Independent legs: trend · triangle · flow · 13F. Bullish agreement adds; bearish/short-dated flagged amber.

🔼 MIGRATION // 22 MATURATION EVENTS

⭐ Migration of the Day

SO — matured triangle_breakout → momentum (streak 3d)

SO triangle_breakout → momentum streak 3d

DUK triangle_breakout → momentum streak 2d

EMR triangle_breakout → momentum streak 2d

TFC triangle_breakout → momentum streak 1d

COIN new → high_conviction streak 16d

GS new → high_conviction streak 16d

HOOD new → high_conviction streak 16d

MRVL new → high_conviction streak 16d

⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL

VIX

18.07

5d Change

-0.4

VIX/VIX3M

0.92

SPY vs 200SMA

+6.9%

VIX normal at 18.1 (-0.4 this week). SPY +6.9% vs 200 SMA.

→ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.

🔒 premium intel below // unlock full dossier

🔪 DAILY.CUTS // PRIME · CHOICE · SELECT

Prime // MOMENTUM

TJX 45/100

$165.17 ⚡ BOUNCE

↳ Bounce 2.0 setup (EMA+ADX+Stoch); Trending (ADX 48.3); Full EMA stack

Choice // LEVERAGED ETF

BABA B/Grade

Play: BABX | ADX: 30.4

↳ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.

INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS // TICKERTRACE API

As of: 2026-06-24

Funds: 53 Tickers: 1674 Options: 479 P/C: 0.82

🟢 TOP BUYING

KR KROGER CO COMMON STOCK US

EGGQ, EGGY, AVMV, AVLV 43.164

AMZN Amazon.com Inc

KQQQ, ARKW, ARKK, ULTY, CMAG, ARKQ, EGGS 19.962

SPCX Space Exploration Technol

ULTI, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, FDRS 11.676

TEM TEMPUS AI INC-CL A

ULTI, ARKK, ARKG 7.942

META META PLATFORMS INC CLASS

FDRS, KQQQ, CMAG, ARKW, ARKK 6.094

PLTR PALANTIR TECHNOLOGIES INC

PLTW, ARKK, ARKW, ULTY, ARKQ 5.9

SHOP Shopify Inc

ULTY, ARKK, KYLD, ARKW, FDRS 5.888

GOOG ALPHABET INC-CL C

ARKW, ARKK, ARKQ 3.83

🔴 TOP SELLING

TSLA Tesla Inc

FDRS, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, CMAG, KQQQ 18.424

AMD Advanced Micro Devices In

ARKW, ARKQ, ARKK, KYLD, ULTY, KQQQ 16.421

ROKU ROKU INC

ARKW, ARKK 8.376

TER TERADYNE INC

ARKQ, KYLD, EGGY, EGGQ, ARKK 10.615

MU MICRON TECHNOLOGY INC

EGGY, AVLV, EGGQ, ULTI 10.422

NVDA NVIDIA Corp

CMAG, FDRS, BLOX, ARKW, ARKQ, ARKK, ULTY 9.09

TSM TAIWAN SEMICONDUCTOR-SP A

BLOX, ARKQ, ARKW, ARKK 9.01

BEAM Beam Therapeutics Inc

ARKG, ARKK, GNMX 6.961

⚡ CROSS-FUND DIVERGENCES

TSLA ↑ SLTY, TSLW, WATS ↓ FDRS, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, CMAG, KQQQ

GOOGL ↑ KQQQ, EGGY, EGGQ, CMAG, ULTY, EGGS ↓ CQTM

STX ↑ EGGQ, EGGY ↓ EGGS

FTNT ↑ ULTY, FDRS ↓ XA

CRWD ↑ FDRS, ARKW ↓ XA

DDOG ↑ ARKW, FDRS ↓ XA, EYES

Sector Flow → FINANCIALS (+1.7401) CONSUMER STAPLES (+0.3425) ENERGY (+0.2902) COMMUNICATION SERVICES (+0.1033) INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (-1.3978) INDUSTRIALS (-0.5848) CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (-0.4339) MATERIALS (-0.2343)

PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW

🔥 Lifers: 0 💎 HiConv: 35 Total: 418

🔥 LIFERS (20+ Days)

No lifers in current window

💎 HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)

PLTR 16d NVDA 16d GOOGL 16d AVGO 16d V 16d MA 16d XOM 16d MSFT 16d META 16d TSLA 16d +25 more

📊 TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS

ANET

Arista Networks, Inc.

Grade

Tech: 95

Fund: 80

Price: $161.74

RSI: 41.08

WAIT for validation

Valuation: OVERVALUED (-34.3%)

View Deep Dive →

HWM

Howmet Aerospace Inc.

Grade

Tech: 100

Fund: 80

Price: $276.06

RSI: 68.27

WAIT for validation

Valuation: OVERVALUED (-48.8%)

View Deep Dive →

TER

Teradyne, Inc.

Grade

Tech: 95

Fund: 70

Price: $427.2

RSI: 52.95

WAIT for validation

Valuation: OVERVALUED (-29.2%)

View Deep Dive →

🔗 Permalinks // For sharing, citing, or just proving you were right first

THIS REPORT

mphinance.github.io/mphinance/reports/2026-06-25_alpha_dossier.html

LATEST ALWAYS

mphinance.github.io/mphinance/reports/latest.html

REPORT ARCHIVE

mphinance.github.io/mphinance/

GHOST BLOG

mphinance.com/blog/

TRADERDADDY PRO

traderdaddy.pro ↗

SOURCE CODE

github.com/mphinance/mphinance ↗

Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API (institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" — the pipeline is open source. Go look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.

Get this report every morning at 5AM

Ghost Alpha Dossier — Free on Substack

✉️ Subscribe Free →

Gold pick · Signals · Sam's roast · One email, zero spam

This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.

Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-06-25 // 2026-06-25 07:18 AM CST