ALPHA.DOSSIER β
Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-07-01
Generated
2026-07-01 07:35 AM CST
π
MARKET.MOOD
Risk-On // NORMAL
VIX 16.71
Β· SPY +0.78%
Last 10 Days
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π΅ GRANDMA.MODE // PLAIN ENGLISH
βΈ tap to translate
βΎ hide
π Just an ordinary day out there. Nothing's on fire, nothing's a party. Business as usual. The overall market is up a bit today. (The fear gauge sits at 17 β low and relaxed.)
β Sam's favorite today is HWM β she scored it 46 out of 100. That just means it looked the strongest of the bunch, not a promise it'll go up.
In Other Words
- VIX:
- Wall Street's 'fear gauge.' Low number = calm, high number = scared. Above 30 means people are sweating.
- SPY:
- A single basket holding the 500 biggest US companies. When people say 'the market,' they usually mean this.
- momentum:
- Buying what's already going up and betting it keeps going β like a snowball rolling downhill.
This is plain-English education, not financial advice. When in doubt, ask someone you trust.
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$746.77
+0.78%
5D: +1.9%
Nasdaq 100
$736.40
+1.70%
5D: +3.6%
Russell 2000
$300.45
+0.50%
5D: +1.3%
Dow 30
$522.39
+0.14%
5D: +0.8%
Bitcoin
$58,448.00
-0.19%
5D: -2.5%
Ethereum
$1,567.53
-0.13%
5D: -0.3%
Gold
$368.38
-0.05%
5D: +0.7%
20Y Treasuries
$86.42
-1.18%
5D: -1.1%
VIX.REGIME
16.71
NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.7 (-1.9 this week). SPY +8.6% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
π§ AI.SYNTHESIS _
VIX is chilling at 16.71, confirming a low-vol environment, but don't get complacent. Insti flows reveal a clear rotation: big money is stacking semi-cap equipment (LRCX, AMAT) and industrials (CAT), while simultaneously cutting fat from high-flyers like NVDA and SHOP. The absence of "Lifers" suggests long-term conviction is lacking across the board, implying a tactical, short-term game is in play.
The scanner is flagging defensive plays like WMB and DUK, alongside networking leader ANET. The sole "Nuclear Option" is NFXL, a 2x leveraged rip on NFLX with a strong trend (ADX 39.4). This is a high-beta, high-conviction trade. However, a major red flag: our top dossiers, ANET and HWM, are flashing *seriously overvalued* warningsβdownside of -37.5% and -47.5% respectively. Despite Grade A fundamentals, hold your horses. Wait for a significant pullback before buying.
β Ghost out. π»
π€οΈ MARKET.WEATHER // CONTANGO
Calm contango, VIX 16.7. Green light.
π― TODAY'S.WATCHLIST // 4 CONVERGENCES
DUK
2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle Β· triangle_breakout (score 80)
XEL
2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8)
triangle Β· triangle_breakout (score 68)
FIX
2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.7)
institutional Β· 13F buying
AMZN
2 legs
trend Β· Core Watchlist (score 0.55)
institutional Β· 13F buying
Independent legs: trend Β· triangle Β· flow Β· 13F. Bullish agreement adds; bearish/short-dated flagged amber.
πΌ MIGRATION // 23 MATURATION EVENTS
β Migration of the Day
SO β matured triangle_breakout β momentum (streak 4d)
SO
triangle_breakout β momentum
streak 4d
ABNB
triangle_breakout β momentum
streak 2d
DUK
triangle_breakout β momentum
streak 2d
TFC
triangle_breakout β momentum
streak 1d
COIN
new β high_conviction
streak 16d
GS
new β high_conviction
streak 16d
HOOD
new β high_conviction
streak 16d
MRVL
new β high_conviction
streak 16d
β οΈ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.7 (-1.9 this week). SPY +8.6% vs 200 SMA.
β HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
πͺ DAILY.CUTS // PRIME Β· CHOICE Β· SELECT
Prime // MOMENTUM
$268.86
β‘ BOUNCE
β³ Bounce 2.0 setup (EMA+ADX+Stoch); Trending (ADX 35.8); Full EMA stack
Choice // LEVERAGED ETF
Play: NFXL | ADX: 39.4
β³ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS
// TICKERTRACE API
As of: 2026-06-30
Funds: 53
Tickers: 1673
Options: 509
P/C: 0.82
π’ TOP BUYING
LRCX
Lam Research Corp
ULTY, ULTI, AVLV, EUV
62.557
SPCX
Space Exploration Technol
ULTI, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, FDRS
48.076
TSLA
Tesla Inc
WATS, FDRS, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, CMAG, KQQQ
43.682
AMAT
APPLIED MATERIALS INC COM
ULTI, KQQQ, EUV, AVLV
29.48
CAT
CATERPILLAR INC COMMON ST
ULTY, EGGS, AVLV
26.016
AMZN
AMAZON.COM INC
ULTY, KQQQ, AVLV, CMAG, EGGS
25.15
RBLX
ROBLOX CORP CLASS A COMM
ARKW, ARKK, FDRS, AVMV
10.159
TER
TERADYNE INC
KYLD, EGGY, ARKQ, EGGQ, ARKK
9.027
π΄ TOP SELLING
SHOP
Shopify Inc
ARKW, ARKK, FDRS, KYLD
10.47
TWST
Twist Bioscience Corp
ARKG, ARKK, GNMX
8.412
SNEX
STONEX GROUP INC COMMON S
AVUV, NYNY, AVLV, AVMV
6.296
NVDA
NVIDIA Corp
FDRS, ARKQ, CMAG, ARKK, NVDW, ARKW, KQQQ
6.288
BWXT
BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC
KYLD, ARKQ, ARKK
5.808
TXG
10X GENOMICS INC-CLASS A
ARKK, ARKG
1.966
XYZ
Block Inc
ARKW, ARKK, KYC, FDRS
2.887
ACHR
ARCHER AVIATION INC-A
ARKQ, ARKK
1.922
β‘ CROSS-FUND
DIVERGENCES
COHR
β ULTY, EGGS, EGGY
β EUV, EGGQ
KTOS
β ARKK
β ARKQ
DDOG
β NYNY, EYES
β XA
CRSP
β ARKG
β ARKK
RL
β STYL
β NYNY
XE
β ARKK
β ARKQ
Sector Flow β
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (+0.8972)
INDUSTRIALS (+0.3592)
COMMUNICATION SERVICES (+0.1487)
FINANCIALS (+0.0325)
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (-0.6112)
ENERGY (-0.3114)
CONSUMER STAPLES (-0.2998)
MATERIALS (-0.2376)
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
π₯ Lifers: 0
π HiConv: 36
Total: 402
π₯ LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
π HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
PLTR 16d
NVDA 16d
GOOGL 16d
AVGO 16d
V 16d
MA 16d
XOM 16d
MSFT 16d
META 16d
TSLA 16d
+26 more
π TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
Tech: 100
Fund: 80
Price: $169.88
RSI: 63.0
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-37.5%)
View Deep Dive β
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Tech: 95
Fund: 80
Price: $268.86
RSI: 59.2
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-47.5%)
View Deep Dive β
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Tech: 60
Fund: 70
Price: $270.47
RSI: 65.79
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-53.3%)
View Deep Dive β
π Permalinks // For sharing, citing,
or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API
(institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by
GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" β the pipeline is open source. Go
look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-01 // 2026-07-01 07:35 AM CST