ALPHA.DOSSIER ●

Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-07-01

Generated
2026-07-01 07:35 AM CST
VIX Regime
16.71 NORMAL
πŸ™‚
MARKET.MOOD
Risk-On // NORMAL
VIX 16.71 Β· SPY +0.78%
Last 10 Days
πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ 😐 πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚ πŸ™‚
πŸ‘΅ GRANDMA.MODE // PLAIN ENGLISH β–Έ tap to translate

πŸ™‚ Just an ordinary day out there. Nothing's on fire, nothing's a party. Business as usual. The overall market is up a bit today. (The fear gauge sits at 17 β€” low and relaxed.)

⭐ Sam's favorite today is HWM β€” she scored it 46 out of 100. That just means it looked the strongest of the bunch, not a promise it'll go up.

In Other Words
VIX:
Wall Street's 'fear gauge.' Low number = calm, high number = scared. Above 30 means people are sweating.
SPY:
A single basket holding the 500 biggest US companies. When people say 'the market,' they usually mean this.
momentum:
Buying what's already going up and betting it keeps going β€” like a snowball rolling downhill.

This is plain-English education, not financial advice. When in doubt, ask someone you trust.

MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$746.77
+0.78%
5D: +1.9%
Nasdaq 100
$736.40
+1.70%
5D: +3.6%
Russell 2000
$300.45
+0.50%
5D: +1.3%
Dow 30
$522.39
+0.14%
5D: +0.8%
Bitcoin
$58,448.00
-0.19%
5D: -2.5%
Ethereum
$1,567.53
-0.13%
5D: -0.3%
Gold
$368.38
-0.05%
5D: +0.7%
20Y Treasuries
$86.42
-1.18%
5D: -1.1%
VIX.REGIME
16.71
NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.7 (-1.9 this week). SPY +8.6% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
VIX is chilling at 16.71, confirming a low-vol environment, but don't get complacent. Insti flows reveal a clear rotation: big money is stacking semi-cap equipment (LRCX, AMAT) and industrials (CAT), while simultaneously cutting fat from high-flyers like NVDA and SHOP. The absence of "Lifers" suggests long-term conviction is lacking across the board, implying a tactical, short-term game is in play.

The scanner is flagging defensive plays like WMB and DUK, alongside networking leader ANET. The sole "Nuclear Option" is NFXL, a 2x leveraged rip on NFLX with a strong trend (ADX 39.4). This is a high-beta, high-conviction trade. However, a major red flag: our top dossiers, ANET and HWM, are flashing *seriously overvalued* warningsβ€”downside of -37.5% and -47.5% respectively. Despite Grade A fundamentals, hold your horses. Wait for a significant pullback before buying.

β€” Ghost out. πŸ‘»
🌀️ MARKET.WEATHER // CONTANGO
Calm contango, VIX 16.7. Green light.
🎯 TODAY'S.WATCHLIST // 4 CONVERGENCES
DUK 2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9) triangle Β· triangle_breakout (score 80)
XEL 2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8) triangle Β· triangle_breakout (score 68)
FIX 2 legs
trend Β· Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.7) institutional Β· 13F buying
AMZN 2 legs
trend Β· Core Watchlist (score 0.55) institutional Β· 13F buying
Independent legs: trend Β· triangle Β· flow Β· 13F. Bullish agreement adds; bearish/short-dated flagged amber.
πŸ”Ό MIGRATION // 23 MATURATION EVENTS
⭐ Migration of the Day
SO β€” matured triangle_breakout β†’ momentum (streak 4d)
SO triangle_breakout β†’ momentum streak 4d
ABNB triangle_breakout β†’ momentum streak 2d
DUK triangle_breakout β†’ momentum streak 2d
TFC triangle_breakout β†’ momentum streak 1d
COIN new β†’ high_conviction streak 16d
GS new β†’ high_conviction streak 16d
HOOD new β†’ high_conviction streak 16d
MRVL new β†’ high_conviction streak 16d
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX
16.71
5d Change
-1.9
VIX/VIX3M
0.83
SPY vs 200SMA
+8.6%
VIX normal at 16.7 (-1.9 this week). SPY +8.6% vs 200 SMA.
β†’ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
πŸ”’ premium intel below // unlock full dossier
πŸ”ͺ DAILY.CUTS // PRIME Β· CHOICE Β· SELECT
Prime // MOMENTUM
HWM 46/100
$268.86 ⚑ BOUNCE
↳ Bounce 2.0 setup (EMA+ADX+Stoch); Trending (ADX 35.8); Full EMA stack
Choice // LEVERAGED ETF
NFLX B/Grade
Play: NFXL | ADX: 39.4
↳ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS // TICKERTRACE API
As of: 2026-06-30
Funds: 53 Tickers: 1673 Options: 509 P/C: 0.82
🟒 TOP BUYING
LRCX Lam Research Corp
ULTY, ULTI, AVLV, EUV 62.557
SPCX Space Exploration Technol
ULTI, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, FDRS 48.076
TSLA Tesla Inc
WATS, FDRS, ARKQ, ARKK, ARKW, CMAG, KQQQ 43.682
AMAT APPLIED MATERIALS INC COM
ULTI, KQQQ, EUV, AVLV 29.48
CAT CATERPILLAR INC COMMON ST
ULTY, EGGS, AVLV 26.016
AMZN AMAZON.COM INC
ULTY, KQQQ, AVLV, CMAG, EGGS 25.15
RBLX ROBLOX CORP CLASS A COMM
ARKW, ARKK, FDRS, AVMV 10.159
TER TERADYNE INC
KYLD, EGGY, ARKQ, EGGQ, ARKK 9.027
πŸ”΄ TOP SELLING
SHOP Shopify Inc
ARKW, ARKK, FDRS, KYLD 10.47
TWST Twist Bioscience Corp
ARKG, ARKK, GNMX 8.412
SNEX STONEX GROUP INC COMMON S
AVUV, NYNY, AVLV, AVMV 6.296
NVDA NVIDIA Corp
FDRS, ARKQ, CMAG, ARKK, NVDW, ARKW, KQQQ 6.288
BWXT BWX TECHNOLOGIES INC
KYLD, ARKQ, ARKK 5.808
TXG 10X GENOMICS INC-CLASS A
ARKK, ARKG 1.966
XYZ Block Inc
ARKW, ARKK, KYC, FDRS 2.887
ACHR ARCHER AVIATION INC-A
ARKQ, ARKK 1.922
⚑ CROSS-FUND DIVERGENCES
COHR ↑ ULTY, EGGS, EGGY ↓ EUV, EGGQ
KTOS ↑ ARKK ↓ ARKQ
DDOG ↑ NYNY, EYES ↓ XA
CRSP ↑ ARKG ↓ ARKK
RL ↑ STYL ↓ NYNY
XE ↑ ARKK ↓ ARKQ
Sector Flow β†’ INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (+0.8972) INDUSTRIALS (+0.3592) COMMUNICATION SERVICES (+0.1487) FINANCIALS (+0.0325) CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (-0.6112) ENERGY (-0.3114) CONSUMER STAPLES (-0.2998) MATERIALS (-0.2376)
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
πŸ”₯ Lifers: 0 πŸ’Ž HiConv: 36 Total: 402
πŸ”₯ LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
πŸ’Ž HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
PLTR 16d NVDA 16d GOOGL 16d AVGO 16d V 16d MA 16d XOM 16d MSFT 16d META 16d TSLA 16d +26 more
πŸ“Š TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS
ANET
Arista Networks, Inc.
Grade
A
Tech: 100
Fund: 80
Price: $169.88
RSI: 63.0
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-37.5%)
View Deep Dive β†’
HWM
Howmet Aerospace Inc.
Grade
A
Tech: 95
Fund: 80
Price: $268.86
RSI: 59.2
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-47.5%)
View Deep Dive β†’
ITW
Illinois Tool Works Inc.
Grade
B
Tech: 60
Fund: 70
Price: $270.47
RSI: 65.79
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-53.3%)
View Deep Dive β†’
πŸ”— Permalinks // For sharing, citing, or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API (institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" β€” the pipeline is open source. Go look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
Get this report every morning at 5AM
Ghost Alpha Dossier β€” Free on Substack
βœ‰οΈ Subscribe Free β†’
Gold pick Β· Signals Β· Sam's roast Β· One email, zero spam
This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-01 // 2026-07-01 07:35 AM CST
⌨ KEYBOARD
J / K β€” next / prev section
T β€” scroll to top
? β€” toggle this help