ALPHA.DOSSIER ●
Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-08-03
Generated
2026-08-03 07:56 AM CST
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MARKET.MOOD
Risk-On // NORMAL
VIX 16.03
· SPY +0.72%
Last 10 Days
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👵 GRANDMA.MODE // PLAIN ENGLISH
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🙂 Just an ordinary day out there. Nothing's on fire, nothing's a party. Business as usual. The overall market is up a bit today. (The fear gauge sits at 16 — low and relaxed.)
⭐ Sam's favorite today is CVX — she scored it 51 out of 100. That just means it looked the strongest of the bunch, not a promise it'll go up.
In Other Words
- VIX:
- Wall Street's 'fear gauge.' Low number = calm, high number = scared. Above 30 means people are sweating.
- SPY:
- A single basket holding the 500 biggest US companies. When people say 'the market,' they usually mean this.
- momentum:
- Buying what's already going up and betting it keeps going — like a snowball rolling downhill.
This is plain-English education, not financial advice. When in doubt, ask someone you trust.
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$747.03
+0.72%
5D: +1.1%
Nasdaq 100
$687.99
+0.65%
5D: +0.9%
Russell 2000
$291.20
-0.48%
5D: -0.6%
Dow 30
$524.32
+0.54%
5D: +0.6%
Bitcoin
$62,630.40
-1.34%
5D: -3.2%
Ethereum
$1,840.55
-2.23%
5D: -4.0%
Gold
$371.54
-1.49%
5D: -0.8%
20Y Treasuries
$82.25
-0.66%
5D: -1.8%
VIX.REGIME
16.03
NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.0 (-2.6 this week). SPY +7.1% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
Alright, let's cut through the noise.
The VIX is chilling at 16.03, signaling a relatively calm market, but don't let that fool you into complacency. The smart money is making moves: institutions are piling into big tech and industrials, with heavy buys in META, NVDA, and CAT. Conversely, they're aggressively dumping staples like KO, KR, and even some growth names like DDOG. This institutional divergence suggests a tactical rotation, possibly indicating a preference for growth/value opportunities over defensive plays in the short term.
Our scanners are flashing bullish on AAPL, XOM, and AVGO, but pump the brakes. While these are strong names, our dossiers show a stark reality: AAPL, AVGO, and V are all significantly overvalued – AAPL at -45.6%, AVGO at -26.0%, and even Grade-A V at a whopping -40.5%. The verdict is a resounding *WAIT* for validation before chasing these. No "Lifers" means sustained conviction is scarce right now. If you're looking for action, keep MP → MPL on your radar; that ADX 36.6 suggests a strong trend for this leveraged play, but it’s still a Grade B, so size accordingly.
— Ghost out. 👻
🌤️ MARKET.WEATHER // CONTANGO
Calm contango, VIX 16.0. Green light.
🎯 TODAY'S.WATCHLIST // 10 CONVERGENCES
XOM
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 1.0)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 84)
AVGO
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
downtrend_breakout · downtrend breakout (confirmed, broke 2026-07-30)
CB
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 55)
EMR
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 76)
OXY
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 81)
DVN
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 93)
VZ
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 64)
AAPL
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 1.0)
institutional · 13F buying
JPM
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.7)
institutional · 13F buying
NVDA
2 legs
trend · Core Watchlist (score 0.55)
institutional · 13F buying
Independent legs: trend · triangle · flow · 13F. Bullish agreement adds; bearish/short-dated flagged amber.
🔼 MIGRATION // 97 MATURATION EVENTS
⭐ Migration of the Day
COP — matured triangle_breakout → momentum (streak 3d)
COP
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 3d
OXY
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 3d
CB
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
CNQ
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
TJX
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
COIN
new → high_conviction
streak 16d
FANG
new → high_conviction
streak 16d
GS
new → high_conviction
streak 16d
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.0 (-2.6 this week). SPY +7.1% vs 200 SMA.
→ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
🔪 DAILY.CUTS // PRIME · CHOICE · SELECT
Choice // MOMENTUM
$190.04
↳ Trending (ADX 47.5); Full EMA stack
Choice // LEVERAGED ETF
Play: MPL | ADX: 36.6
↳ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS
// TICKERTRACE API
As of: 2026-07-31
Funds: 71
Tickers: 2241
Options: 539
P/C: 0.6
🟢 TOP BUYING
META
META PLATFORMS INC-CLASS
ARKW, ARKK
3.432
CAT
CATERPILLAR INC
ULTY, DIVO
0.859
NVDA
NVIDIA Corp
ULTY, DIVO
0.647
LHX
L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES INC
ARKQ
0.347
LLY
ELI LILLY + CO COMMON STO
AVLV
0.247
MSFT
Microsoft Corp
DIVO
0.221
AAPL
Apple Inc
DIVO
0.218
QLYS
QUALYS INC COMMON STOCK U
AVUV
0.21
🔴 TOP SELLING
KO
Coca-Cola Co/The
DIVO
3.66
KR
Kroger Co/The
EGGQ, EGGY
0.796
DDOG
DATADOG INC - CLASS A
ARKW
0.461
MRNA
MODERNA INC
ULTI
0.261
FCEL
FUELCELL ENERGY INC
ULTI
0.224
DLO
DLOCAL LTD COMMON STOCK U
AVUV
0.194
KMTUY
KOMATSU LTD -SPONS ADR
ARKQ
0.123
⚡ CROSS-FUND
DIVERGENCES
AMGN
↑ DIVO
↓ EGGS
HOOD
↑ ULTY, ULTI
↓ BLOX
CAT
↑ ULTY, DIVO
↓ ARKQ
MELI
↑ ULTY
↓ KYC
V
↑ DIVO
↓ KYC
Sector Flow →
HEALTH CARE (+0.1128)
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (+0.0782)
INDUSTRIALS (+0.0076)
UTILITIES (+0.0063)
ENERGY (-0.054)
CONSUMER DISCRETIONARY (-0.0258)
CONSUMER STAPLES (-0.0194)
COMMUNICATION SERVICES (-0.0053)
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
🔥 Lifers: 0
💎 HiConv: 144
Total: 267
🔥 LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
💎 HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
PLTR 16d
NVDA 16d
GOOGL 16d
AVGO 16d
V 16d
MA 16d
XOM 16d
MSFT 16d
META 16d
TSLA 16d
+134 more
📊 TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS
Tech: 75
Fund: 80
Price: $308.91
RSI: 45.08
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-45.6%)
View Deep Dive →
Tech: 75
Fund: 80
Price: $389.28
RSI: 52.43
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-26.0%)
View Deep Dive →
Tech: 95
Fund: 80
Price: $366.13
RSI: 58.4
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-40.5%)
View Deep Dive →
🔗 Permalinks // For sharing, citing,
or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API
(institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by
GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" — the pipeline is open source. Go
look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-08-03 // 2026-08-03 07:56 AM CST