ALPHA.DOSSIER ●
Daily Intelligence Report // Sam the Quant Ghost // 2026-07-16
Generated
2026-07-16 06:37 AM CST
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MARKET.MOOD
Risk-On // NORMAL
VIX 16.09
· SPY +0.40%
Last 10 Days
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👵 GRANDMA.MODE // PLAIN ENGLISH
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🙂 Just an ordinary day out there. Nothing's on fire, nothing's a party. Business as usual. The overall market is up a bit today. (The fear gauge sits at 16 — low and relaxed.)
⭐ Sam's favorite today is UNH — she scored it 51 out of 100. That just means it looked the strongest of the bunch, not a promise it'll go up.
In Other Words
- VIX:
- Wall Street's 'fear gauge.' Low number = calm, high number = scared. Above 30 means people are sweating.
- SPY:
- A single basket holding the 500 biggest US companies. When people say 'the market,' they usually mean this.
- momentum:
- Buying what's already going up and betting it keeps going — like a snowball rolling downhill.
This is plain-English education, not financial advice. When in doubt, ask someone you trust.
MARKET.PULSE // LIVE BENCHMARKS
S&P 500
$754.81
+0.40%
5D: +0.4%
Nasdaq 100
$717.74
-0.27%
5D: -0.8%
Russell 2000
$295.77
+0.43%
5D: -0.5%
Dow 30
$525.95
+0.24%
5D: +0.3%
Bitcoin
$64,140.55
-0.88%
5D: +0.6%
Ethereum
$1,882.64
-1.79%
5D: +4.3%
Gold
$372.35
+0.05%
5D: -1.5%
20Y Treasuries
$84.24
+0.19%
5D: -0.3%
VIX.REGIME
16.09
NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.1 (+0.2 this week). SPY +9.0% vs 200 SMA.
SECTOR.ROTATION // 5D LEADERS
🧠 AI.SYNTHESIS _
Alright, let's get into it. The VIX is sitting at a chill 16.09, telling us the market's pretty complacent, but don't mistake calm for lack of underlying chop. Smart money is clearly positioning: institutions are loading up on names like HOOD, TSLA, and SHOP, while actively dumping ROKU and others. No "Lifers" on the board today, which means sustained, high-conviction plays are missing – watch out for rotational churn rather than a clear trend.
Our scanner is flashing bullish on GOOGL, GOOG, and TRV, but hold your horses. The dossiers scream OVERVALUED for all three, with GOOGL at -25.9%, GOOG at -26.0%, and TRV at a whopping -29.8%. The verdict? WAIT for validation. Don't chase that purely technical move when fundamentals are flashing red. For those feeling spicy, IONQ's leveraged counterpart, IONX, is our "Nuclear Option" with a strong ADX of 29.1 and a Grade B. That's a high-octane play if you're comfortable with the risk.
— Ghost out. 👻
🌤️ MARKET.WEATHER // CONTANGO
Calm contango, VIX 16.1. Green light.
🎯 TODAY'S.WATCHLIST // 6 CONVERGENCES
AMZN
3 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 92)
institutional · 13F buying
GILD
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 71)
HWM
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.9)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 87)
AAPL
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 74)
XYZ
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.7)
institutional · 13F buying
NVDA
2 legs
trend · Ghost Alpha V2 (score 0.8)
triangle · triangle_breakout (score 71)
conflict · 13F selling
⚠ 13F selling
Independent legs: trend · triangle · flow · 13F. Bullish agreement adds; bearish/short-dated flagged amber.
🔼 MIGRATION // 70 MATURATION EVENTS
⭐ Migration of the Day
SBUX — matured triangle_breakout → momentum (streak 5d)
SBUX
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 5d
NEE
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 4d
WELL
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 3d
ABNB
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
GILD
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
SO
triangle_breakout → momentum
streak 2d
COIN
new → high_conviction
streak 16d
GS
new → high_conviction
streak 16d
⚠️ MARKET.REGIME // NORMAL
VIX normal at 16.1 (+0.2 this week). SPY +9.0% vs 200 SMA.
→ HEALTHY: Standard position sizing, focus on high-quality momentum.
🔪 DAILY.CUTS // PRIME · CHOICE · SELECT
Choice // MOMENTUM
$418.52
⚡ BOUNCE
↳ Bounce 2.0 setup (EMA+ADX+Stoch); Trending (ADX 49.3); Full EMA stack
Choice // LEVERAGED ETF
Play: IONX | ADX: 29.1
↳ VWAP Reclaim play. EOD close required.
INSTITUTIONAL.SIGNALS
// TICKERTRACE API
As of: 2026-07-15
Funds: 53
Tickers: 1681
Options: 511
P/C: 0.63
🟢 TOP BUYING
HOOD
Robinhood Markets Inc
ARKK, ARKW, ULTY, KYLD
6.589
TSLA
Tesla Inc
ARKW, ARKK
4.092
CRCL
CIRCLE INTERNET GROUP INC
ARKW, ARKK
4.036
SHOP
Shopify Inc
ARKW, ARKK, ULTY
4.029
SPCX
Space Exploration Technol
ARKW, ARKK, ULTY
3.079
AMZN
Amazon.com Inc
ARKW, ARKK, ULTY
3.028
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc
ARKW, ARKK, ULTY
2.763
XPRO
EXPRO LTD COMMON STOCK US
AVUV
1.773
🔴 TOP SELLING
FRME
FIRST MERCHANTS CORP COMM
AVUV
0.246
TXG
10X GENOMICS INC-CLASS A
ARKK
0.238
PSNL
PERSONALIS INC
ARKG
0.209
TWST
TWIST BIOSCIENCE CORP
ARKG
0.087
TSLA
Tesla Inc
ARKQ, SLTY
0.114
AMD
ADVANCED MICRO DEVICES
ARKQ
0.024
NVDA
NVIDIA CORP
NVDW
0.013
⚡ CROSS-FUND
DIVERGENCES
TSLA
↑ ARKW, ARKK
↓ ARKQ, SLTY
AMD
↑ ARKW, ULTY, KYLD
↓ ARKQ
TWST
↑ ARKK
↓ ARKG
HOOD
↑ ARKK, ARKW, ULTY, KYLD
↓ HOOW
NVDA
↑ ARKW, ULTY, ARKK
↓ NVDW
Sector Flow →
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY (+0.2738)
ENERGY (+0.2584)
INDUSTRIALS (+0.1842)
MATERIALS (+0.0384)
HEALTH CARE (-0.2812)
CONSUMER STAPLES (-0.22)
FINANCIALS (-0.1392)
COMMUNICATION SERVICES (-0.0679)
PERSISTENCE.TRACKER // 21-DAY ROLLING WINDOW
🔥 Lifers: 0
💎 HiConv: 114
Total: 277
🔥 LIFERS (20+ Days)
No lifers in current window
💎 HIGH CONVICTION (10-19D)
PLTR 16d
NVDA 16d
GOOGL 16d
AVGO 16d
V 16d
MA 16d
XOM 16d
MSFT 16d
META 16d
TSLA 16d
+104 more
📊 TODAY'S WATCHLIST // A-GRADE SETUPS
Tech: 80
Fund: 80
Price: $370.92
RSI: 67.54
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-25.9%)
View Deep Dive →
Tech: 100
Fund: 80
Price: $370.21
RSI: 66.19
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-26.0%)
View Deep Dive →
TRV
The Travelers Companies, Inc
Tech: 95
Fund: 60
Price: $329.19
RSI: 57.01
WAIT for validation
Valuation: OVERVALUED (-29.8%)
View Deep Dive →
🔗 Permalinks // For sharing, citing,
or just proving you were right first
Data sources: Yahoo Finance (price/fundamentals), CBOE (options listings), TickerTrace API
(institutional flows), Gemini AI (narrative + Ghost Log). Built by Michael. Written by Sam. Automated by
GitHub Actions. If you're asking "where does this data come from?" — the pipeline is open source. Go
look. Sam left comments. Most of them are complaints.
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This report is for informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Trade at your own risk. Past performance does not guarantee future results.
Generated by Ghost Alpha Dossier Pipeline // 2026-07-16 // 2026-07-16 06:37 AM CST